Chad

Military & Security

Politics

Chad's National Election Management Agency, or ANGE, announced that junta leader Mahamat Deby Itno won the country's presidential election with 61.03% of votes, Radio France Internationale reported on May 10.

Chad: Deby Declared Winner of Presidential Election, Opposition Calls for Protests

France

The European Union Mission to Chad expressed concern at the exclusion of 2,900 civil society election observers from the first round of Chad's May 6 presidential election, Le Monde reported May 7.

Chad: EU Decries Exclusion of Election Observers From Presidential Election As Counting Is Underway

Sudan

United States

United Arab Emirates

Economics

U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Linda Thomas-Greenfield warned of an impending "large-scale massacre" in El Fasher, the capital of Sudan's North Darfur region, Voice of America reported on April 29. 

Sudan: U.S. Warns of 'Large-Scale Massacre' Ahead of Expected RSF Offensive on El Fasher

The U.S. Department of Defense will temporarily withdraw around 75 special operation forces from Chad in the coming days, The New York Times reported on April 25.

Chad: U.S. To Withdraw Special Forces From Chad 

In a statement dated April 4 and shared online, Chadian Chief of Air Staff Brig. Gen. Idriss Amine Ahmed ordered the immediate suspension of U.S. military activities at the Adji Kossei Air Base in Chad's capital, N'Djamena, Tchad One reported on April 19. 

Chad: Junta Reportedly Orders Suspension of U.S. Military Activities

Chad's Constitutional Council unveiled the full list of candidates running in the country's May-June presidential election, Radio France Internationale reported on March 24. 

Chad: Constitutional Council Unveils List of Candidates in Presidential Election

Chadian Prime Minister and former opposition leader Succes Masra announced that he will run in Chad's May-June presidential election, Bloomberg reported on March 10. 

Chad: Prime Minister Succes Masra Unveils Presidential Bid

Chadian security forces reportedly killed opposition leader Yaya Dillo following an attack on the country's office of intelligence services, Tchad One reported on X, formerly Twitter, on Feb. 28. 

Chad: Opposition Leader Yaya Dillo Allegedly Killed by Chadian Security Forces

Assessments

Panama

China

Serbia

Hungary

Russia

Panamanian presidential candidate Jose Raul Mulino on May 1, 2024, in Panama City. Panamanians will vote May 5 to select their next president and all 71 members of the National Assembly.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Panama Holds General Elections, Xi Visits Europe

Snapshots

A picture taken through a car window shows Chadian soldiers barring the entrance to the road leading to the headquarters of the opposition Socialist Party Without Borders (PSF) in N'Djamena, Chad, on Feb. 29, 2024. 

Chad's junta leader is likely taking advantage of an armed rebellion to assert his power ahead of upcoming elections, but his government's violent crackdown on a leading opposition party risks further destabilizing the country.

What's Next for Chad Following Armed Clashes in the Capital? 

Sub-Saharan Africa

South Sudan

Ghana

Senegal

South Africa

Supporters of former South African President Jacob Zuma sing and chant in Tembisa, South Africa, during a recruitment drive for Zuma's newly launched uMkhonto we Sizwe party on Jan. 21, 2024.

Of the 13 countries holding elections this year, Senegal, South Africa, Chad, Ghana and South Sudan's ballots will likely be the most politically and economically impactful.

Previewing Sub-Saharan Africa's 2024 Elections

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Chile

Iraq

Japan

A man holds a handout in support of Chile’s proposed new constitution on Dec. 6, 2023, in Santiago.

The Weekly Rundown: A Japan-ASEAN Summit, Constitutional Referendums in Chile and Chad

Burkina Faso

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea

Gabon

Mali

Niger

Republic of the Congo

People holding Gabon national flags celebrate in Libreville on August 30, 2023, after a group of military officers announced they were ''putting an end'' to President Ali Bongo Ondimba's regime. 

Rampant insecurity could precipitate the collapse of more Sahelian governments, while succession crises and patronage politics could do the same for Central Africa's dynastic leaders.

Assessing the Risk of Future African Coups, Part 1: The Sahel and Central Africa

Benin

Cote d'Ivoire

Nigeria

Togo

French soldiers of the Barkhane force patrol the streets of Timbuktu, Mali, on Dec. 5, 2021.

In the wake of Niger's coup, France will be compelled to revamp its security strategy in the Sahel and West Africa at large.

What the Niger Crisis Means for France's Counterterrorism Strategy in Africa

Mauritania

French soldiers patrol the streets of Gao, Mali, on Dec. 4, 2021. 

France’s updated military posture in the African region focuses on supporting national armies, especially Niger’s. But this is unlikely to offset the impact of Paris’ withdrawal from Mali. 

France’s New Approach to the Sahel: Preparing for Sustained Regional Instability

Columns

On Geopolitics

Guinea

Guinea Bissau

Demonstrators in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, hold up photos of Malian coup leader Assimi Goita (who seized power in Mali for the second time in a May 2021 coup) and Burkina Faso coup leader Paul-Henri Sandaogo Damiba on Jan. 25, 2022.

Security

Old Leaders in a New Africa

The Suitors of Sub-Saharan Africa

Niger may soon join the wave of military takeovers, but that risk has more to do with what’s happening within the country's borders.

Putting West Africa’s ‘Coup Contagion’ in Context

Media

Podcasts

After a wave of coups, both successful and failed, in West African nations, is it safe to say democracy is under attack?

Essential Geopolitics: Why So Many Coups in West Africa?

Zambia

Germany

United Kingdom

People wait outside the entrance to the annual meetings of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) outside the IMF headquarters in Washington D.C. on Oct. 11, 2021. 

COVID-19

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

Pressing internal issues facing both institutions’ leaders and main shareholders will limit room for substantive reforms, further slowing the global economy’s recovery.

This Year’s World Bank-IMF Meetings Are Unlikely to Yield Progress

Reflections

Police clash with opposition demonstrators in N'Djamena, Chad, on April 27, 2021. 

The Jihadist Wars

A rebel offensive is inching toward the country's capital, which has also seen a surge in violent protests.

The Threats Facing Chad’s New Military Leaders 

Tanzania

In this episode of the Stratfor Essential Geopolitics podcast from RANE, Stratfor senior global analyst at RANE Matthew Bey provides guidance about the impact of the deaths of Chad's and Tanzania's presidents. 

Essential Geopolitics: Two Sub-Saharan Nations Face New Leadership

Chad is a landlocked country in Central Africa which is considered one of the cradles of humanity. In its early history, its position straddling the transition between the Sahara and the Sahel placed it in a prime position for trans-Saharan trade, and its territory has comprised several African empires over the centuries. However, French imperial conquests in the 19th and early 20th centuries fastened Chad into the space it inhabits today.     While its political power is centered around the capital, N'Djamena, Chad has struggled to deal with its ethnic and regional divides since independence. Sedentary, often Christian populations in the south have historically clashed with nomadic, often Muslim groups in the north for political supremacy. The imposition of colonial borders in Chad's east separated ethnic and tribal groups in Sudan and Chad, driving political instability as the two countries have sought to control the space and its population.     Chad's position at a crossroads in Central Africa has often driven its involvement in regional security issues over the years. Chad is a significant contributor to combatting terrorism in the region, closely aligning itself with powers from the West such as France and the United States. These relationships are key for Chadian leaders seeking to augment weak internal resources and the country's landlocked status. However, Chad has emerged as a Central African oil producer in the past two decades, which has helped attract the interest of foreign investors. 

SITUATION REPORTS

Chad: Deby Declared Winner of Presidential Election, Opposition Calls for Protests

Chad: EU Decries Exclusion of Election Observers From Presidential Election As Counting Is Underway

Sudan: U.S. Warns of 'Large-Scale Massacre' Ahead of Expected RSF Offensive on El Fasher

Chad: U.S. To Withdraw Special Forces From Chad

Chad: Junta Reportedly Orders Suspension of U.S. Military Activities

Chad: Constitutional Council Unveils List of Candidates in Presidential Election

Chad: Prime Minister Succes Masra Unveils Presidential Bid

Chad: Opposition Leader Yaya Dillo Allegedly Killed by Chadian Security Forces

Forecasts

ANALYSES

SECTIONS

Explore

Subscribe

Help & Support