United States

China

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

The U.S. Commerce Department is weighing new export restrictions on closed source or proprietary artificial intelligence models to China, Reuters reported on May 8.

U.S., China: Washington Weighs Restrictions on AI Model Exports to China

U.S.-China Relations

Russia

Military & Security

U.S. government agencies indicted and sanctioned Dmitry Yuryevich Khoroshev, a 31-year-old Russian national, for his role as the administrator and developer of LockBit, one of the most prolific global ransomware groups in the world, Reuters reported on May 7.

U.S.: Government Indicts Prolific LockBit Ransomware Group Leader

Politics

The U.S. State Department published the International Cyberspace and Digital Policy Strategy on May 6, outlining the government's plan to work with allies and stakeholders internationally "to shape the design, development, governance, and use of cyberspace and digital technologies."

U.S.: State Department Announces International Cyberspace and Digital Policy Strategy

Eritrea

Cuba

Nicaragua

Venezuela

Egypt

Iran

Saudi Arabia

Turkey

Norway

Belarus

Economics

Reporters Without Borders published its 2024 World Press Freedom Index, indicating that suppression of journalists and political attacks on the press have "significantly intensified" in the last year, The Guardian reported on May 3.

Global: Press Freedom Declines Amid Pivotal Elections Around the World

Eight major regional U.S. newspapers owned by Alden Global Capital filed lawsuits against OpenAI and Microsoft for copyright infringement, Axios reported on April 30. 

U.S.: Major Regional Newspapers Sue OpenAI, Microsoft for Copyright Infringement

Indonesia

Microsoft announced that it will invest $1.7 billion in cloud and artificial intelligence infrastructure in Indonesia over the next four years, The Wall Street Journal reported on April 30. 

Indonesia: Microsoft To Invest $1.7B in AI, Cloud Computing

Europe

The European Commission will announce a probe into Meta Platforms on April 29 over purported claims that the company is not doing enough to counter disinformation, the Financial Times reported the same day.

EU: European Commission To Announce Probe Into Meta Over Disinformation

Philippines

The Philippine government announced that a "foreign actor" created a recently circulated manipulated video, or deepfake, that showed President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. directing military action against China, Bloomberg reported on April 26.

Philippines: Deepfake of President Stirs Tensions With China

<p>Individuals, companies, governments and militaries alike all depend on computers. And as is so often the case, these dependencies create vulnerabilities that have made cybersecurity all the more important as proficiencies in cyber warfare and cyber crime improve. That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age. How governments and their constituents attune themselves to this brave new world will ultimately shape their relationship with the internet &mdash; and with each other.</p>

That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age.

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Security

Modernizing China’s Military

Globalization

Echoes of the Cold War

China in Transition

Media

Podcasts

What types of threat actors will be most active leading up to the election?

Essential Geopolitics: Election-Related Cyber Threats in the U.S.

Assessments

Japan

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken (center), flanked by two other U.S. officials, is seen during a meeting with Japanese Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa and Philippine Foreign Minister Enrique Manalo (not pictured) on the sidelines of the 78th United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York City on Sept. 22, 2023.

A partnership between the three countries will likely improve freedom of navigation and economic security in the South China Sea, but may also raise the risk of trade disputes and conflict with China.

What To Watch for During the Inaugural U.S.-Japan-Philippines Summit

Sub-Saharan Africa

Forecast Webcast

Energy

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2024 Second-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2024 Second-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

U.S.-Iran Relations

Snapshots

United Kingdom

A rendering of Earth from space at night with abstract 5G connection zones. 

In the United Kingdom and the United States, a focus on innovation will sideline robust artificial intelligence regulations.

The U.S. and U.K. Ramp Up Innovation-Focused AI Collaboration

What steps can be taken to ensure data privacy?

RANE Insights: Broaching the Topic of Data Privacy in Today's Technological Environment 

Nascent regulations and nonbinding private sector pledges will likely fail to curb the spread of deepfakes and other generative AI content on social media during the 2024 elections in both territories.

The U.S. and EU Brace for AI-Powered Election Disinformation

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Portugal

Early voters line up March 3, 2024, in Lisbon, Portugal. Portuguese voters head to the polls March 10 in what opinion polls suggest will be a tight race between the incumbent Socialist Party and the Democratic Alliance coalition of center-right parties.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Portugal's Election, Ramadan Begins With No Gaza Cease-fire

Ukraine

The Vizgard FortifAI software-based Artificial Intelligence (AI) engine for surveillance monitoring is displayed during the DroneX expo in London, the United Kingdom, on Sept. 26, 2023.

The development of autonomous military AI systems will primarily be driven by global powers testing such systems in warzones around the world, which will initially reduce the technology's application for smaller, less-resourced countries.

The Drivers and Constraints to the Proliferation of Autonomous Military AI Systems

France

The 2024 Summer Olympic Games logo is superimposed on a photo of the Arc de Triomphe and fireworks in Paris, France.

Risks of extremist attacks and cybercrime in Paris will increase amid the 2024 Summer Olympic Games.

Paris' Threat Outlook Amid the 2024 Summer Olympic Games, Part 2

What kinds of cyber threat activity have we seen from Iran?

Essential Geopolitics: Iran's Cyber Threat Activity

How effective are Washignton's campaigns against foreign cyber espionage?

Essential Geopolitics: U.S. Efforts To Combat China's Hacking Campaign

EU digital Commissioner Margrethe Vestager speaks regarding the Economic Security Strategy on June 20, 2023, in Brussels. 

Reluctance from member states to increase pressure on China and cede powers to Brussels will limit EU efforts to control exports and restrict investments in strategic sectors.

Cyber

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., China: Washington Weighs Restrictions on AI Model Exports to China

U.S.: Government Indicts Prolific LockBit Ransomware Group Leader

U.S.: State Department Announces International Cyberspace and Digital Policy Strategy

Global: Press Freedom Declines Amid Pivotal Elections Around the World

U.S.: Major Regional Newspapers Sue OpenAI, Microsoft for Copyright Infringement

Indonesia: Microsoft To Invest $1.7B in AI, Cloud Computing

EU: European Commission To Announce Probe Into Meta Over Disinformation

Philippines: Deepfake of President Stirs Tensions With China

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