As we brace for what looks to be a volatile 2017, it is important to reflect on the year that was. Our 2016 Annual Forecast stressed the complex interconnectivity of several major trends: Turkey's resurgence, the U.S.-Russia standoff, the Syrian civil war, surging nationalism in Europe and economic stress driving big political change in much of the world.
Accountability is a critical part of our forecasting process that requires we identify where we got things right and where we went off track and why. Below is a brief summation of our 2016 evaluation....