Assessments

Gradually building protests in Armenia are unlikely to lead to regime change for a host of reasons, the most important of which is Russia.

Armenia's Upcoming Protest and Russia's Position

The March 17 opposition rally in Armenia is expected to be the largest of the past month. The latest wave of opposition protests, while not unusual for post-Soviet Armenia, was sparked by revolutions in the Middle East and North Africa. If the unrest grows or persists, it could shift from a domestic affair to one that would potentially involve Armenia's patron state, Russia.

Summary

Gradually building protests in Armenia are unlikely to lead to regime change for a host of reasons, the most important of which is Russia. 

ASSESSMENTS

Armenia's Upcoming Protest and Russia's Position

Summary

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