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Apr 29, 2013 | 09:58 GMT

6 mins read

Geopolitical Calendar: Week of April 29, 2013

Stratfor

Editor's Note: The following is an internal Stratfor document listing significant meetings and events planned for the next week. Stratfor analysts use this document to stay informed of the activities and travel of world leaders and to guide their areas of focus for the week.

EUROPE

  • April 29: A new round of wage negotiations between German airline Lufthansa and the labor union Ver.di is expected to take place.
  • April 29: Israeli President Shimon Peres will meet with Pope Francis in Rome.
  • April 30: United Arab Emirates President Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed al-Nuhayyan will visit the United Kingdom at the invitation of Queen Elizabeth II.
  • May 1: Labor Day in Europe.
  • May 2: Local elections will be held in the United Kingdom.
  • May 3: The European Union and Ukraine will meet in Brussels to discuss the Ukrainian natural gas sector. EU Energy Commissioner Gunther Oettinger and Ukrainian Energy Minister Eduard Stavitsky will be in attendance.
  • May 4: A British opposition movement called The 99% against Austerity is expected to protest government austerity measures in several cities.

FORMER SOVIET UNION

  • April 30: The European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg will announce its ruling in a court case that was filed by former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Timoshenko against Ukraine.
  • April 30: Russian and U.S. military officials are expected to meet in Brussels to discuss missile defense.
  • May 2: Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will visit Hungary to meet his Hungarian counterpart, Janos Martonyi, to discuss bilateral ties.

SOUTH ASIA

  • April 29: Bangladesh will choose its next president to replace recently deceased President Zillur Rahman.
  • April 29-May 2: Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Indian Foreign Minister Salman Khurshid will discuss bilateral issues at a meeting of the Indo-Russian Intergovernmental Commission in Moscow.
  • May 3: An anti-terrorism court in Pakistan will resume its investigation of the assassination of former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto.
  • May 3: The seventh informal meeting of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation Finance Ministers will be held in New Delhi, India.
  • May 3: The 16th Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting will take place in New Delhi. The grouping brings together the 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations as well as China, South Korea and Japan.

EAST ASIA

  • April 28-30: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and a business delegation will visit Russia, the first visit to Russia by a Japanese prime minister in 10 years. Abe has said that he wants to start negotiations on the disputed Kuril Islands/Northern Territories and that he will bring investment offers for Russia's underdeveloped Far East.
  • April 28-30: The 2013 Midshipmen Cruising and Training Squadron of the Taiwanese navy, which is on a goodwill tour of the Caribbean and Central America and is led by Rear Adm. Cmdr. Li Shih-chiang, will visit Belize. The visit is intended to strengthen bilateral relations between the two countries.
  • April 29: Myanmar President Thein Sein will visit Bangkok to attend the opening ceremony of the 69th session of the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific. The theme of the session is "Building resilience to natural disasters and major economic crises."
  • April 30–May 4: Tomicah Tillemann, the senior adviser to the U.S. secretary of state for civil society and emerging democracies, will visit Myanmar to meet with government officials, lawmakers and civil society leaders. Meetings will cover U.S. and multilateral support for democratic reforms in the run-up to Myanmar's 2015 elections.
  • May 3: The deadline for Cambodia and Thailand to present to the International Court of Justice responses to the other's definition of what constitutes the "vicinity" of the Preah Vihear temple.
  • May 5: Malaysia will hold general elections, expected to be the most contentious since the country's independence.
  • May 5: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will visit China, the first visit to China by an Israeli prime minister since 2007. Netanyahu will discuss with Chinese officials Iran's nuclear program and bilateral trade.
  • May 5-10: South Korean President Park Geun-hye will travel to the United States, where she is expected to meet U.S. President Barack Obama on May 7. During the trip, Park's first since taking office, she will address a joint session of the U.S. Congress. She will also unveil her vision to promote peace in northeast Asia, a plan she calls the Seoul Process.

AMERICAS 

  • April 29: A Honduran delegation will fly to Kingston, Jamaica, to restart negotiations over the delineation of their shared maritime border.
  • May 1: Supporters of Venezuela opposition figure Henrique Capriles Radonski are expected to hold nationwide May Day protest marches against the government of recently elected President Nicolas Maduro.
  • May 2-4: U.S. President Barack Obama will visit Mexico and Costa Rica to discuss trade and immigration issues.
  • May 3: Costa Rica will host a regional Central American Integration System summit in San Jose. Obama is expected to be in attendance.
  • Undefined: A U.S.-Colombian tax cooperation accord will be posted to Colombia's Congress for debate and approval.
  • Undefined: Ecuador will begin receiving exports — initially, 15,000 barrels per day — of Colombian crude oil through the OCP pipeline.

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

  • April 27-30: A business delegation from Andhra Pradesh, India, will travel to Iran to discuss trade.
  • April 27-May 1: Tunisian businessmen in the electronic industry will meet in Benghazi, Libya.
  • April 28-May 1: The 2nd International Exhibition for the Reconstruction of Libya will be held in Benghazi.
  • April 28-May 4: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will visit Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Turkey.
  • April 29: U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry will meet in Washington with representatives of the Arab League, including foreign ministers from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt, Morocco, Jordan and the Palestinian territories.
  • April 29-May 1: Several EU representatives will visit Bahrain.
  • May 1: The Supreme Court of Libya will hear the appeals of 19 Ukrainians sentenced to 10 years in prison for allegedly helping the regime of Moammar Gadhafi.
  • May 1: A free trade agreement signed between South Korea and Turkey will go into effect.
  • May 2: Bidding for oil and natural gas exploration blocs off the coast of Lebanon is scheduled to begin. 

AFRICA

  • April 29: African chiefs of defense staff will meet at African Union headquarters in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, to prepare for the 6th Ordinary Meeting of the Specialized Technical Committee on Defense Safety and Security.
  • April 29-May 5: The U.N. special envoy for the Great Lakes, Mary Robinson, will embark on her first tour to the African region. Robinson will visit the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Uganda, Burundi and South Africa, concluding with a visit to the African Union in Addis Ababa.
  • April 30: The African Union Council for Peace and Security will convene in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, to discuss various issues, including the political impasse in Madagascar.
  • Undefined: South Sudan's first oil cargo is expected to reach an export-processing facility in Sudan.

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