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Contributor PerspectivesFeb 4, 2017 | 14:12 GMT
A map of Syrian refugee flows hangs at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Jan. 18. Throughout history, collective blame and punishment have forced people to flee their homes en masse in search of freedom and safety.
Striking a Balance Between Security and Freedom
Collective guilt is all too common throughout history, regardless of whether punishment is meted out because of political, economic or religious differences. The Jews, cruelly oppressed by Pharaoh. The Christians, persecuted by Nero. The consequences of collective blame and punishment -- people leaving their homes en masse in search of freedom and safety -- are also familiar. We see them today as people flee Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, and as refugees flood into Europe or knock at America's door. Can looking back inform our present and mitigate the problems ahead?
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Annual ForecastsDec 27, 2016 | 13:44 GMT
The main theme of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's campaign was retrenchment, the idea that the United States will pull back from overseas obligations, get others to carry more of the weight of their own defense, and let the United States focus on boosting economic competitiveness.
2017 Annual Forecast
Long-arching trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. The longer economic pain persists, the stronger the political response. That loud banging at the door is the force of nationalism greeting the world's powers, particularly Europe and the United States, still the only superpower.
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