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Quarterly ForecastsMar 26, 2020 | 18:27 GMT
2020 Second-Quarter Forecast
Many of the trends identified in our annual forecast will slow down or be on hold as governments scramble to adapt to a post-COVID reality.
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SnapshotsMar 20, 2020 | 21:01 GMT
Despite Falling Oil Prices, U.S. Production Cuts Remain Unlikely
In response to collapsing global oil prices, there are signs that U.S. President Donald Trump -- and now, the agency overseeing Texas' massive energy industry -- is mulling a potential production cut deal with Russia and Saudi Arabia. But doing so would mean overcoming political hurdles in the United States, divisions over
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On SecurityMar 16, 2020 | 17:21 GMT
Police officers engulfed in flames from an incendiary device during protests in Caracas on July 30.
Plan. Prepare. Avoid a Mad Dash When Crisis Erupts
As the prospect of escalating conflict looms over Venezuela and the Korean Peninsula, it is important to revisit the theme of evacuation planning and preparation. Political and environmental crises over the years afford us the opportunity to discuss the contents of your fly-away bag, considerations to take when planning an
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AssessmentsMar 6, 2020 | 17:32 GMT
An image showing Lebanese pounds.
Lebanon's Impending Debt Default
Lebanon is highly likely to default on a $1.2 billion, 10-year eurobond that matures March 9. Even if it makes that payment, the country's finances are near collapse. When that happens it will accelerate a crisis in the country's insolvent banking sector, probably deepening its ongoing currency crisis and setting
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SnapshotsMar 3, 2020 | 16:53 GMT
Bolsonaro's Support for Anti-Congress Rallies Stirs Fears for Brazil's Democracy
Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro's support for a movement to stage demonstrations against the country's Congress on March 15 has led to accusations that he is acting to undermine democracy. The move has the potential to backfire politically as it has been opposed by some conservative elected officials and media figures.
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AssessmentsFeb 28, 2020 | 18:24 GMT
Two women wearing blue, protective respiratory masks take a tour outside the Colosseum in Rome, Italy, on Jan. 31, 2020, after two cases of the new coronavirus were confirmed in the city.
What a Coronavirus Crisis Means for Europe
Europe's stock markets have plunged in recent days, with its largest economies (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy and Spain) now all reporting upticks in cases of COVID-19, the coronavirus that emerged from China in recent weeks. Stocks in European industries reliant on Chinese supplies, such as in the technology sector,
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Decade ForecastsFeb 12, 2020 | 02:59 GMT
Decade Forecast: 2020-2030
Over the next 10 years, the world will revert to a multipolar power structure that will encourage constantly shifting alliances and create a more contentious global system. In the midst of this dynamic change, pockets of economic opportunity will emerge.
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