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Contributor PerspectivesMar 8, 2018 | 00:06 GMT
Women pose for a photo while showing their support for Tehran's mayor at a rally in May 2017.
Iran's Hijab Protesters Cover Familiar Territory
Recent demonstrations over the Islamic republic's headscarf law shed light on the issues of culture, politics and faith that so often throughout history have been wrapped up with women's dressing habits.
Contributor PerspectivesFeb 27, 2018 | 17:27 GMT
The "Tribute in Light," representing the twin towers of the World Trade Center, illuminates the New York skyline on the eve of the 16th anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
The Looming Tower: Retreading the Road to 9/11
The new Hulu original series -- based on Lawrence Wright's Pulitzer Prize-winning account of the events that led up to and followed the fateful Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks -- illustrates the sometimes monumental role of the individual in geopolitics.
Contributor PerspectivesNov 1, 2017 | 08:00 GMT
Around 1510, German theologian and reformer Martin Luther, second from the left, sits with his contemporaries.
The Making of a Black Swan
When Martin Luther nailed his Ninety-Five Theses to a church door 500 years ago, he triggered one of the biggest black swan events in history. But any forecaster of his time could have predicted what would happen next -- even if Luther had never been born.
GuidanceApr 16, 2017 | 13:21 GMT
The Global Intelligence Digest from Stratfor for the Week of April 17, 2017
Global Intelligence: Week of April 17, 2017
North Korea commemorated the anniversary of the birth of the country’s founder Kim Il Sung April 15, unveiling a host of new military hardware. The days leading up to the celebration were marked with growing speculation that the United States could launch a punitive strike on North Korea against its missile and nuclear infrastructure, risking significant retaliation by Pyongyang. Much of that speculation centered on the limited strike on Syria last week, rumors leaked out of Washington as well as a US MOAB (officially the GBU-43 or “Massive Ordnance Air Blast” but nicknamed the “Mother Of All Bombs”) bombing on April 13 targeting Islamic State positions in Afghanistan.
Contributor PerspectivesFeb 4, 2017 | 14:12 GMT
A map of Syrian refugee flows hangs at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Jan. 18. Throughout history, collective blame and punishment have forced people to flee their homes en masse in search of freedom and safety.
Striking a Balance Between Security and Freedom
Collective guilt is all too common throughout history, regardless of whether punishment is meted out because of political, economic or religious differences. The Jews, cruelly oppressed by Pharaoh. The Christians, persecuted by Nero. The consequences of collective blame and punishment -- people leaving their homes en masse in search of freedom and safety -- are also familiar. We see them today as people flee Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, and as refugees flood into Europe or knock at America's door. Can looking back inform our present and mitigate the problems ahead?
Contributor PerspectivesAug 20, 2016 | 13:16 GMT
The geopolitics of religious violence
Of Murder, Men and God
Geopolitical disruption, confounding religious edicts and social upheaval have created a recipe for the killings of clergymen over the past two decades. When political stability is scarce, religion might play a steadying role. But despite many good efforts within faith communities, and with the assistance of the media's megaphone, dogma seems to be trumping righteousness.
Contributor PerspectivesDec 16, 2015 | 08:54 GMT
Peshmerga fighters inspect the remains of a car, bearing an image of the trademark jihadist flag, which reportedly belonged to Islamic State (IS) militants after it was targeted by an American air strike in the village of Baqufa, north of Mosul, on August 18, 2014. Kurdish peshmerga fighters backed by federal forces and US warplanes pressed a counter-offensive Monday against jihadists after retaking Iraq's largest dam, as the United States and Britain stepped up their military involvement.
Anticipating the Enemy
In a recent address to the nation, U.S. President Barack Obama observed that, "we should not be drawn once more into a long and costly ground war in Iraq or Syria. That's what groups like [the Islamic State] want." Long and costly are relative terms; longer than what alternative? More costly than what action, and to what interests? But here I am more concerned with the implicit argument that we should avoid doing what our adversaries want us to do. That seems obvious, but is it?
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