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Quarterly ForecastsMar 26, 2020 | 18:27 GMT
2020 Second-Quarter Forecast
Many of the trends identified in our annual forecast will slow down or be on hold as governments scramble to adapt to a post-COVID reality.
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On SecurityMar 16, 2020 | 17:21 GMT
Police officers engulfed in flames from an incendiary device during protests in Caracas on July 30.
Plan. Prepare. Avoid a Mad Dash When Crisis Erupts
As the prospect of escalating conflict looms over Venezuela and the Korean Peninsula, it is important to revisit the theme of evacuation planning and preparation. Political and environmental crises over the years afford us the opportunity to discuss the contents of your fly-away bag, considerations to take when planning an
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AssessmentsMar 6, 2020 | 17:32 GMT
An image showing Lebanese pounds.
Lebanon's Impending Debt Default
Lebanon is highly likely to default on a $1.2 billion, 10-year eurobond that matures March 9. Even if it makes that payment, the country's finances are near collapse. When that happens it will accelerate a crisis in the country's insolvent banking sector, probably deepening its ongoing currency crisis and setting
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SnapshotsMar 3, 2020 | 20:25 GMT
Iran Sharply Accelerates its Uranium Enrichment
The International Atomic Energy Agency distributed its quarterly report on Iran's nuclear activities to member governments March 3, including a second document detailing Iran's alleged stonewalling of IAEA efforts to resolve questions about past nuclear activities. This is the first report since Iran took the position that it is not
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