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Annual ForecastsJan 7, 2013 | 12:00 GMT
The rules of the game are changing in the international system. In 2013, we will see that denial of that change is waning.
2013 Annual Forecast
At the beginning of 2012, we argued that the international system is undergoing a generational transformation -- the kind that occurs every 20 years or so. The cycle we are now in started in 2008-2009, when global financial contagion exposed the underlying weaknesses of Europe and eventually cracked China's export-oriented economic model. The Middle East then began to deviate from its post-World War II paradigm with an attempted resurgence by Iran, the regional rise of Islamists and the decline of age-old autocratic regimes in the Arab world.
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AssessmentsSep 29, 2011 | 11:59 GMT
China Security Memo: Land Grab Triggers Protests in Guangdong
A land transfer in Wukan village triggered protests that ended in negotiations, not a security crackdown. Also, the president of the Shanghai subway operator publicly bowed in apology for the Sept. 27 train crash. (With STRATFOR interactive map)
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AssessmentsAug 31, 2011 | 12:02 GMT
China Security Memo: A Legal Approach to Sichuan Unrest
Three monks have received prison terms in relation to a monk's March 16 self-immolation in Aba, Sichuan province, perhaps indicating a new approach by authorities to dealing with Tibetan monks' defiance. (With STRATFOR interactive map)
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