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With few available options or resources, the winner of the country's Aug. 11 runoff election will face corruption and security issues and have to weigh the temptation of Chinese promises amid deteriorating relations with the United States.
The ongoing peace process has yielded a recent thaw in U.S.-Pakistani relations. But without an active conflict in Afghanistan, there will be little keeping Washington from turning toward more pressing issues in the region -- namely, stemming China's rise.
The desert nation has established stronger security measures than neighboring Mali, Libya and Chad -- all of which are facing fast-expanding jihadist movements. But militants have already started to prioritize efforts in Niger.