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AssessmentsApr 20, 2024 | 13:00 GMT
The Weekly Rundown: Israel-Iran Conflict, Ecuador's Constitutional Referendum
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 19:55 GMT
Australia: Canberra Unveils New Transformative National Defense Strategy
Australian Defense Minister Richard Marles unveiled the country's 2024 National Defense Strategy, which highlights a stronger navy and improved long-range strike capabilities as policy cornerstones going forward, the Australian Broadcasting Corp. reported on April 17.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 16, 2024 | 19:35 GMT
China: Nuclear Energy Expands Rapidly, but Faces Geopolitical Headwinds
China released its Nuclear Energy Development Blue Book 2024, which noted that China's operational capacity of nuclear energy in 2023 was 55 reactors with a total installed capacity of 57.03 gigawatts (ranked third in the world), state news outlet Global Times reported on April 15.
READ MOREAssessmentsApr 15, 2024 | 17:21 GMT
How Israel's Response to Iran Could Accelerate the Iranian Nuclear Program
Iran's attack against Israel and Israel's possible retaliation will increase the likelihood that Tehran will accelerate the development of nuclear weapons.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 15, 2024 | 14:32 GMT
Iran, U.S.: House To Vote on Slew of Iran Sanctions Measures
The U.S. House of Representatives plans to vote the week of April 15 on a dozen bills sanctioning Iran and its allies for the April 13 attack on Israel, Axios reported on April 14.
READ MOREAssessmentsApr 8, 2024 | 19:21 GMT
What To Watch for During the Inaugural U.S.-Japan-Philippines Summit
A trilateral partnership between the United States, Japan and the Philippines focusing on cyberdefense, joint maritime patrols and supply chain resilience will likely help improve freedom of navigation and economic security in the South China Sea, but it may also raise the risk of trade disputes and conflict with China. U.S. President Joe Biden will host Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida for a state visit on April 10, followed by a trilateral summit on April 11 where Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. will also be present. The trilateral summit between the United States, the Philippines and Japan will be the first of its kind and will focus on three main areas: national security, economic security and mitigating climate change, with an eye toward institutionalizing cooperation via formal dialogue mechanisms in the medium-to-long term. The summit will likely conclude with the issuance of a joint vision statement laying out each country's
READ MORESituation ReportApr 5, 2024 | 21:25 GMT
Australia: Country's First Cobalt Refinery To Start Construction This Year
Australian mining and mineral processing company Cobalt Blue said it is on track to begin construction of Australia's first cobalt-nickel refinery by December, Nikkei Asia reported on April 5.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 5, 2024 | 18:40 GMT
China, Uganda: Oil Pipeline Shows Beijing's Energy, Belt and Road Priorities
Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni stated on X, formerly Twitter, that Beijing has shown interest in working with China's national financial institutions to support the East African Crude Oil Pipeline project, Bloomberg reported on April 5.
READ MOREAssessmentsApr 3, 2024 | 18:16 GMT
Europe's Green Hydrogen Future, Part 1: Hopes and Constraints
The European Union is betting on green hydrogen to help reach its 2050 net-zero targets while maintaining industrial and economic competitiveness thanks to the fuel's potential to decarbonize hard-to-abate productive sectors of the economy, but significant constraints cast doubt over this strategy's viability. The European Union considers green hydrogen, which is hydrogen produced entirely using renewable energy resources, a pivotal element of its decarbonization strategy. This is primarily because green hydrogen could significantly reduce the carbon emissions of so-called hard-to-abate sectors like heavy industries (such as cement, steel and chemicals) and activities like heavy-duty transport (such as trucking, shipping and aviation). For this reason, in 2020 the European Union adopted its hydrogen strategy, which aims to scale up and decarbonize hydrogen production in the bloc with the ultimate ambitious goal of producing 10 million tons of green hydrogen by 2030. In 2022, in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine,
READ MORESituation ReportMar 25, 2024 | 17:14 GMT
Yemen: Houthis Target Chinese-Owned Oil Tanker in Red Sea, Despite Recent Agreement
Yemen's Houthi rebels targeted Chinese-owned oil tanker Huang Pu in the Red Sea on March 23 with four anti-ship ballistic missiles, one of which struck the ship and caused slight damage but no casualties, The National reported on March 24.
READ MOREQuarterly ForecastsMar 25, 2024 | 00:04 GMT
2024 Second-Quarter Forecast
During the quarter, elections in territories covering a joint population of more than 2 billion will determine the political and economic direction of some of the world’s largest economies.
READ MOREAssessmentsMar 2, 2024 | 14:00 GMT
The Weekly Rundown: Pakistan Selects a New Premier, China's Two Sessions
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.
READ MORESituation ReportFeb 29, 2024 | 20:28 GMT
Philippines, Australia: Marcos Delivers Speech in Front of Australian Parliament, Signs Deals
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. delivered a speech to a joint session of Australia's parliament, the Australian Broadcasting Corp. reported on Feb. 29.
READ MORESituation ReportFeb 26, 2024 | 16:47 GMT
Libya: Oil Guards Shut Down Wafa Oil Field and Greenstream Gas Pipeline to Italy
The Libyan Petroleum Facilities Guards, or PFG, announced the "closure of all oil fields and ports" throughout the country following a 10-day ultimatum to the Tripoli-based Government of National Unity, or GNU, to increase their salaries, Alwasat News reported on Feb. 25.
READ MOREAssessmentsFeb 22, 2024 | 18:37 GMT
How Will India's Economic Growth Support Its Foreign Policy?
India's strong medium-term economic growth outlook will enable its government to direct financial resources and diplomatic efforts toward managing the country's complex security environment. Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) have dominated Indian politics since first coming to power in 2014. And that trend appears set to continue, with opinion polls projecting that the BJP will secure another five-year term in India's next general election, which is expected to be held in April and May. The opposition Indian National Congress party, meanwhile, remains frail amid increased factionalism and ideological weakness in the context of rising Hindu nationalism. The BJP's dominant position will, in turn, give it significant leeway to pursue its domestic economic and foreign policy agenda in the likely case that the party is re-elected later this year.
READ MOREAssessmentsFeb 20, 2024 | 21:06 GMT
The Window Is Closing for the EU's Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Law
The window of opportunity for the European Union to approve a due diligence directive that would increase costs, paperwork and liability risks for large companies operating in the bloc is quickly closing, which means the plan could be severely watered down or abandoned completely. A plan to implement a Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD, or CS3D) in the European Union is generating significant controversy, as it would require large companies in the bloc to screen their supply chains for environmental and human rights violations. EU member states were supposed to vote on the directive on Feb. 9, but the meeting was postponed after the German government announced it would abstain. Negotiators from EU member states and the European Parliament had reached a preliminary agreement on the CS3D on Dec. 14, but Berlin withdrew its support after the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP), part of Germany's coalition government, criticized the plan
READ MOREAssessmentsFeb 19, 2024 | 14:00 GMT
The Modern Geopolitics of Russia
For much of its history, Russia has been a quintessential geopolitical great power, and it arguably remains so today. Russia's power stems from its vast territory and geography, which spans 11 time zones and possesses large reserves of nearly every strategic resource. The country's amassment of the largest nuclear arsenal in the world has only solidified great power status in more recent decades.
READ MOREAssessmentsFeb 9, 2024 | 18:55 GMT
Tensions Flare Between the Philippines' Current and Former Presidents
In the Philippines, a growing political dispute between President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and former President Rodrigo Duterte could reignite secessionist sentiment on the Mindanao island and potentially derail government efforts to open the country to foreign investment and keep close ties with the United States. In early January, the Philippines House of Representatives began a nationwide signature campaign to initiate a People's Initiative to amend the 1987 constitution, distributed mostly through local mayoral offices but also through private activist efforts. Specifically, the petition asks voters whether they support amending the constitution to require both chambers of Congress to vote jointly on constitutional changes. Congress would then vote on lifting caps on foreign ownership of businesses and Filipino natural resources. The Senate, which totals 24 members to the House's 316, is against the initiative, given that it would effectively take away its voting power on such matters. Former President Duterte agrees
READ MOREOn GeopoliticsFeb 6, 2024 | 21:20 GMT
The Significance of U.S. Defense Cooperation Agreements in Northern Europe
The growing prospect of Donald Trump re-entering the White House next year is fueling concerns in Europe that the United States may soon scale back its security commitments to the region. Yet a flurry of defense agreements recently signed by the United States in the Nordic-Baltic region suggests not a withdrawal but rather a transformation of Washington's strategic engagement in the region in the coming years, regardless of who wins the U.S. presidential election in November. Three separate defense agreements with Sweden, Finland and Denmark -- which, together, grant U.S. troops and weapons access to 35 new military bases across the Baltic and the Arctic regions -- offer a glimpse of NATO's transforming deterrence and collective security approach in the region in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and of the role the United States will play in this transformation.
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