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Situation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 20:19 GMT

Russia, China: Chinese Exports to Russia Fall for First Time Since 2022 Amid Payment Issues

According to Chinese customs data, China's exports to Russia fell almost 16% in March from a year earlier, marking the first year-over-year decline since 2022, Bloomberg reported on April 17.

China

Russia

Economics

Situation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 20:16 GMT

India: Elon Musk Will Likely Announce EV Investment During Visit to India

U.S. tech executive Elon Musk is scheduled to meet with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on April 22 during his visit to India to discuss electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla's plans to enter in the Indian market, Reuters reported on April 17.

India

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 19:37 GMT

El Salvador, China: Governments Discuss Free Trade Agreement

China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen and El Salvador's Economy Minister Maria Luisa Hayem launched free trade agreement discussions via video, the Global Times reported on April 17.

El Salvador

China

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Politics

Situation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 19:35 GMT

Azerbaijan, Russia: Moscow To End Nagorno-Karabakh Peacekeeping Mission Ahead of Schedule

Russia began withdrawing its peacekeeping contingent from Azerbaijan's Nagorno-Karabakh region, AP reported on April 17, citing Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov.

AssessmentsApr 17, 2024 | 18:47 GMT

Jordan's Alignment With Israel Will Put It in Iran's Crosshairs

Jordan will remain aligned with the United States and Israel, which will result in a heightened risk of attacks by Iranian proxies and growing risks of radicalization.

Palestinian Territories

Syria

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Politics

SnapshotsApr 17, 2024 | 17:00 GMT

A photo of Singapore's Parliament building against a cityscape.

Singapore's Incoming Prime Minister Brings a Fresh Face to an Old Regime

While an impending leadership change in Singapore portends short-term policy continuity, it could lead to a snap election and may signal that the ruling party's monopolistic political leadership is gradually waning. On April 15, Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong announced that he would step down in favor of his chosen successor, Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Lawrence Wong, who will become the country's fourth prime minister since 1965. The transition is set for May 15. After the transfer of authority, Wong will lead the ruling People's Action Party, or PAP, in preparation for the city-state's next general election, which is due by November 2025. Lee will serve as a senior minister in Wong's Cabinet following the handover.

Singapore

Economics

Politics

Situation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 16:17 GMT

Mozambique: South Africa Completes Withdrawal From Cabo Delgado

South Africa completed the withdrawal of its 1,500 troops deployed to Mozambique's northern Cabo Delgado region as part of the Southern African Development Community's military mission in Mozambique, or SAMIM, Zitamar News reported on April 16.

Situation ReportApr 16, 2024 | 21:03 GMT

Italy, U.K.: Leaked Reports Highlight Governments' Concern Around AI Oversight

The British government is beginning to draft legislation to regulate artificial intelligence, or AI, the Financial Times reported on April 15.

Environment, Science & Technology

AssessmentsApr 16, 2024 | 19:36 GMT

Bharatiya Janata Party flags on April 15 in the Indian city of Raipur.

India's 2024 Elections Will Likely Generate Policy Continuity

If India's ruling BJP party remains in power after the country's April 19-June 1 general election, policy continuity regarding efforts to increase employment, build infrastructure and implement controversial social policies nationally that trigger social unrest can be expected.

India

Politics

Situation ReportApr 16, 2024 | 19:35 GMT

China: Nuclear Energy Expands Rapidly, but Faces Geopolitical Headwinds

China released its Nuclear Energy Development Blue Book 2024, which noted that China's operational capacity of nuclear energy in 2023 was 55 reactors with a total installed capacity of 57.03 gigawatts (ranked third in the world), state news outlet Global Times reported on April 15.

China

Economics

Energy

Situation ReportApr 16, 2024 | 18:09 GMT

Ghana: Government Pauses Debt Restructuring Talks After IMF Warns Draft Deal Is Insufficient

Ghana announced that it had halted talks to restructure $13 billion in dollar-denominated bonds with two bondholder groups, Reuters reported on April 15.

Ghana

Economics

Situation ReportApr 16, 2024 | 15:29 GMT

Germany, China: Scholz and Xi Meet in Beijing Amid Rising Trade Tensions

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said he asked Chinese President Xi Jinping to address issues such as overcapacity, dumping and copyright infringement and ensure fair competition for foreign companies operating in China during a meeting between the two leaders in Beijing, Reuters reported on April 16.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportApr 16, 2024 | 14:35 GMT

U.S., Venezuela: Washington May Not Extend Sanctions Relief, but New License May Be Forthcoming

A U.S. State Department official said the United States would not renew a temporary license easing sanctions on Venezuela's hydrocarbon sector unless the government made progress on holding free and fair elections scheduled for July 28, Reuters reported on April 15.

Situation ReportApr 15, 2024 | 14:32 GMT

Iran, U.S.: House To Vote on Slew of Iran Sanctions Measures

The U.S. House of Representatives plans to vote the week of April 15 on a dozen bills sanctioning Iran and its allies for the April 13 attack on Israel, Axios reported on April 14.

AssessmentsApr 13, 2024 | 13:12 GMT

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (C) April 12 in Dausa, India.

The Weekly Rundown: Indian Elections, Scholz Goes to China

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

Palestinian Territories

China

Germany

India

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Politics

AssessmentsApr 12, 2024 | 20:39 GMT

Geopolitical Calendar

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.

Situation ReportApr 12, 2024 | 19:55 GMT

Colombia: National Liberation Army Suspends Participation in Government Peace Talks

The National Liberation Army, or ELN, announced that it would freeze peace talks with the Colombian government after alleging that Bogota engaged in parallel talks with an ELN faction in bad faith, Reuters reported on April 11.

AssessmentsApr 12, 2024 | 19:03 GMT

2024 Elections: India

India's 2024 general election, which will be held from April 19 to June 1, will likely result in Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party retaining control of the government.

India

Politics

Situation ReportApr 12, 2024 | 17:15 GMT

Ecuador, Mexico: Mexico Files Complaint With ICJ to Remove Ecuador From UN

On April 11, Mexico submitted formal proceedings against Ecuador in the International Court of Justice (ICJ), arguing that the latter "violated Mexico's rights under customary and conventional international law" by raiding the Mexican embassy in Ecuador on April 5, and therefore should be suspended from the United Nations, according to an April 11 press release from the International Court of Justice.

Ecuador

Mexico

Politics

Situation ReportApr 12, 2024 | 16:58 GMT

China: New Rules Meant to Align Stock Market With Beijing's Policy Plans

China's State Council released new guidelines for stock markets aimed at improving the quality of listed firms, including requiring full disclosure of dividend policies, tightening corporate governance rules to boost investment value and curbing stake sales by large shareholders, Bloomberg reported on April 12.

China

Economics

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