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MemosJul 2, 2020 | 18:32 GMT
Fred Burton's Summer Reading List
Fred Burton has put together a few books to add to your warm weather reading list. Some are classics and others are brand new — I can’t wait to read Brad Thor’s new thriller NEAR DARK. The Scot Harvath series never disappoints.
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PodcastsJun 1, 2020 | 20:37 GMT
Days of Rage With Author Bryan Burrough
Since 2001, the phrase domestic terrorism has dominated its fair share of U.S. headlines. But homegrown terrorism in the United States is not a new phenomenon, and certainly not inspired singularly by al Qaeda or other transnational terrorist groups. In fact, arguably the most prolific periods of domestic terrorism in the U.S. predate online radicalization and the blowback from wars waged by the United States in the Middle East and South Asia. Radical underground groups were all too common during the 1970s. The violent acts of the Symbionese Liberation Army, the Weathermen and the Black Liberation Army, to name a few, helped define a bloody period of American history. Exploring the different groups and their ideologies and the FBI's efforts to suppress them, bestselling author Bryan Burrough's navigates a decade of America's experience of domestic terrorism in Days of Rage: America's Radical Underground, the FBI and the Forgotten Age of Revolutionary Violence.
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On SecurityMay 19, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
An image of the Islamic State flag overlays a map of Iraq.
Rumblings of an Islamic State Resurgence in Iraq
The Islamic State may have faded from international headlines, but the group remains a potent threat capable of returning with force in its core territory. Since beginning its initial resurgence in Iraq during 2011, the Islamic State has morphed from a local insurgent group to a global movement, with branches that have continued to launch attacks in areas ranging from West Africa to Afghanistan. And without sustained pressure from its adversaries, including the United States and Iraq, the group is well-positioned to continue its resurgence in its core territory -- a development with potentially grave global consequences.
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SITUATION REPORTApr 22, 2020 | 19:23 GMT
Israel, Palestinian Territories: Twin Incidents in West Bank Highlight Enduring Militant Threat
A Palestinian militant rammed a security checkpoint near the West Bank settlement of Ma’ale Adumim and attempted to stab an officer before he was shot dead, The Times of Israel reported April 23. Three Hamas militants planning attacks in the Jerusalem and Ramallah areas were also arrested in a separate incident, according to The Jerusalem Post. 
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Decade ForecastsFeb 12, 2020 | 02:59 GMT
Decade Forecast: 2020-2030
Over the next 10 years, the world will revert to a multipolar power structure that will encourage constantly shifting alliances and create a more contentious global system. In the midst of this dynamic change, pockets of economic opportunity will emerge.
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On SecurityJan 28, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
U.S. Marine Corps Gen. Kenneth McKenzie speaks as a picture of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is seen during a press briefing Oct. 30, 2019, at the Pentagon in Arlington, Virginia.
The Global Jihadist Movement in 2020: The Threat Lens Forecast
As 2020 begins, the world is firmly in the post-Islamic State "caliphate" phase of the jihadist struggle. In 2019, the Islamic State lost the last sliver of the vast territory it had seized during its rapid rise in 2014. The group also lost its "caliph," Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, in a U.S.-led raid in October 2019. The conditions that fueled its growth and propelled it to the forefront of the jihadist movement have clearly changed. But the threat hasn't disappeared.   The movement continues to be split generally between the Islamic State and al Qaeda. However, in practice, the jihadist ecosystem is really far more complex.
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AssessmentsJan 23, 2020 | 00:41 GMT
Authorities in Wuhan, China, check the temperature of a passenger at a wharf on the Yangtze River on Jan. 22, 2020.
Questions of Risk Follow the Spread of a New Virus out of China
Over the past three days, the reported spread of a deadly strain of coronavirus first detected in Wuhan, China, both within and beyond Chinese borders has raised concerns of a wider outbreak that would increase the risks of significant economic and social impacts both in China and the wider world. The coronavirus, which is the same type of virus that led to a disruptive global outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) in 2002 and 2003, was first reported in Wuhan in November. Notably, however, compared with the apparent cover-up and scarcity of information released by Chinese officials during the first three months of the SARS outbreak, which first arose in Guangdong province, greater transparency about the current viral outbreak on the part of local and national officials has mobilized an earlier official response and raised public awareness, which could mitigate the extent of its spread.
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AssessmentsJan 6, 2020 | 23:03 GMT
An Iraqi demonstrator poses with the national flag as angry protesters blocked roads in the central city of Najaf on Jan. 5, 2020, to oppose the possibility that Iraq would become a battleground between the United States and Iran.
Iraqi-U.S. Ties Reach a Breaking Point
In death, senior Iranian military figure Qassem Soleimani may be getting closer to achieving one of his overarching aims: removing the United States from Iraq. On Jan. 5, Iraq's parliament convened a special session in the wake of the airstrike that killed Soleimani and Iraqi militia leaders to accelerate the government's expected request that the United States withdraw its forces from Iraq. In the nonbinding resolution, legislators demanded that the Iraqi government cancel its request for assistance from the U.S.-led coalition fighting the Islamic State, remove all foreign troops from Iraqi land and airspace, keep all weapons in government hands, investigate the U.S. airstrike that killed Soleimani and lodge a complaint at the United Nations over Washington's alleged violation of Iraqi sovereignty. One day later, a draft letter from the U.S. Department of Defense and a statement from Secretary of Defense Mark Esper indicated that the United States could already
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AssessmentsDec 17, 2019 | 11:00 GMT
A protest against the government of President Ivan Duque on Dec. 8, 2019, in Bogota, Colombia.
Unrest in Colombia Will Continue in 2020 as Duque Stays Firm
Major demonstrations that have racked Colombia since Nov. 21 will continue into 2020, but will largely remain peaceful. The government of Colombian President Ivan Duque will struggle to come to terms with the protesters, and will become less politically effective amid ongoing unrest and as the security situation worsens in rural areas prone to militancy.
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AssessmentsNov 27, 2019 | 10:30 GMT
This photo shows Iraqi protesters gathered in Baghdad's Tahrir Square on Oct. 31, 2019.
Iraqi and Lebanese Protesters Will Struggle to Change Systems Built to Resist
The protest movements underway in both Iraq and Lebanon share many of the same characteristics, including common complaints about inefficient and corrupt governments that don't deliver what citizens need. They also share a similar future: The prospects that either can effectively pressure their leaders to quickly reform the Iraqi and Lebanese political systems appear slim. That's because, by their very nature, the governing systems in the countries bracketing the Levant are exceptionally difficult to overhaul. After all, the governments, which both arose either in the aftermath of a devastating civil war in Lebanon’s case -- or in Iraq’s to preclude one -- were designed to solve and manage conflict, not necessarily to provide ideal governing systems. This was accomplished by carefully allotting positions to the leaders of the many competing sects in both countries, ideally in an egalitarian way. But the structures of both governments also allow an entrenched elite
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Contributor PerspectivesNov 25, 2019 | 11:00 GMT
This photo shows protesters in Santiago, Chile, running from riot police on Nov. 19, 2019.
A Rebellious World Is Taking It to the Streets
Demonstrators were out on the streets when I returned to France last week, most of them peacefully protesting but enough burning cars and smashing windows in central Paris for the police to deploy water cannons and tear gas. The latest outbreak marked the first anniversary of a movement, les gilets jaunes or yellow vests, outraged by President Emmanuel Macron's attempt to increase the tax on diesel that fuels most vehicles in rural areas. Although Macron swiftly withdrew the tax, protests have continued in Paris and elsewhere every Saturday since. Participation dwindled, but the anniversary riot showed that the yellow vests are not going away. In this, France is part of a growing tally of countries witnessing mass protests as government after government defends a status quo that many people reject.
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AssessmentsNov 22, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
Workers at the Chinese-majority owned Colombo International Container Terminal (CICT) in Colombo load a cargo ship in this photograph from June 24, 2016.
A Familiar Name Takes Charge in Sri Lanka
A familiar name is taking the helm in Sri Lanka. Gotabaya Rajapaksa surged to victory in Nov. 16 elections in part because he succeeded in channeling his credentials as a minister who helped end Sri Lanka's long-running civil war to win the confidence of an electorate demanding security after an Islamic State-inspired group killed 290 people in terrorist attacks in April. Economic grievances, however, were as much a factor in the minds of voters as national security. And as Sri Lanka's $89 billion economy lumbers through its latest downturn, the new president's administration will focus on reviving growth, raising the country's income status and creating jobs, all while ensuring the growing debt burden remains manageable. As a developing country in a strategically significant location, Sri Lanka's needs for capital will create more opportunities for China and India to lavish funding on the island nation. Whatever the case, Gotabaya Rajapaksa will
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