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AssessmentsDec 12, 2018 | 11:00 GMT
A Saudi man gestures near a sign at the start of the three-day Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh on Oct. 23, 2018.
Why Saudi Arabia Will Struggle to Draw Investors in 2019
With 2019 just around the corner, Saudi Arabia's economic planners are busy at work, planning the oil giant's budget for the coming year. On one hand, the outlook for the country's economic growth is good, especially when compared to a year ago. Over the past year, oil prices have been high enough that the desert kingdom has succeeded in narrowing its substantial budget deficit faster than originally planned. Real GDP growth also hit 1.8 percent in the first half of 2018 – up a full 1 percent from the same period of 2017. Nevertheless, a deeper problem lurks, namely, the economic engine that is responsible for the country's growth. If growth only comes from heavy state spending, rather than private sector activity or higher levels of consumption, Saudi Arabia's ambitious plans to diversify the economy have little chance of success in the near term.
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AssessmentsJul 27, 2018 | 09:00 GMT
A display promotes Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 economic reform campaign at the 2017 GITEX technology exhibition in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 Plan Is Too Big to Fail -- Or Succeed
After Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman announced the kickoff of Saudi Arabia's massive Vision 2030 economic reform plan in 2016, his country's government charged toward implementing many of the sweeping changes it hoped to make over the course of almost a decade and a half. It was going to diversity its economy, boost private industry, make investment easier, reduce unemployment, increase innovation and modernize the country in countless ways both social and economic. Now, only two years later, the mainstream media is already asking if Vision 2030 is failing.
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AssessmentsJun 28, 2018 | 12:35 GMT
Currency exchange values posted in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on June 15, 2018.
How a Rising U.S. Dollar Puts Argentina's and Brazil's Economies at Risk
The strengthening U.S. dollar is causing capital flight in emerging markets such as Argentina and Brazil. For the past month, the Argentine peso and the Brazilian real have been among the world's worst-performing currencies against the dollar. Despite that weak performance and the negative effect that a rising U.S. dollar will have on their economies, major differences exist between Argentina's and Brazil's financial capacity and level of vulnerability to a stronger dollar.
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AssessmentsJun 15, 2016 | 16:35 GMT
Chinese Financial Reform Will Move at Beijing's Pace
Chinese Financial Reform, Moving at Beijing's Pace
For three years, China and global stock benchmark provider MSCI have been working together to resolve concerns over China's domestic stock markets. Resolution would clear the way for MSCI to add China's domestically listed, yuan-denominated stocks known as A-shares to its emerging markets index. But for two years, those efforts had fallen short of MSCI's standards, and on June 14, the outcome was no different. Citing concerns over repatriation limits, untested trading suspension policies and the preapproval requirements by local exchanges (Shenzhen and Shanghai) for launching new financial products, such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs), MSCI opted not to include China's A-shares in the index. China will continue to work with the group in hopes of being included when MSCI does its next annual review in June 2017. The stock index firm even said it could include China's A-shares sooner should sufficient liberalization occur and the outstanding concerns be resolved before then.
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