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Sustained protests and altercations with security forces in southwestern Tajikistan highlight the great challenges the Central Asian state faces in ensuring the withdrawal of U.S. troops in nearby Afghanistan doesn't prompt a surge of violence within its own borders. Hampered by limited domestic security capabilities, as well as longstanding cultural
The growing global backlash against China's involvement in both the COVID-19 pandemic and Hong Kong's political crisis is fueling a new brand of "wolf warrior" diplomacy in Beijing based on a nationalistic Chinese movie. This more aggressive stance abroad exposes a sense of vulnerability in Beijing, and poses two potential
Hong Kong officials have extended citywide social distancing measures until June 18, citing a cluster of COVID-19 infections in the city after over two weeks without new cases, the South China Morning Post reported June 2.
OPEC+ appears headed for an earlier-than-expected online ministerial meeting on June 4 to discuss how to extend oil production cuts for the rest of the year, given the faster-than-expected recovery in oil prices. During the meeting, members will reportedly consider a Saudi-Russian compromise on a very brief 1-2 month delay
High debt and deficit levels will raise the risk of sovereign defaults, especially in Southern Europe, as high unemployment creates fertile ground for social unrest and political extremism across the currency area.
The U.S. government on May 21 informed its allies of intention to withdraw from the Treaty on Open Skies. The continued abandonment of arms control treaties is both an indicator and a driver of reduced trust and cooperation between the United States and Russia.
With awareness of China's rising power heightened amid the COVID-19 pandemic, and the United States forging ahead to counterbalance it, the rimlands of Eurasia will once again find themselves stuck in the middle.
As COVID-19 saps oil demand, the economic fallout will likely leave Saudi Arabia back in the role of "price taker," as the kingdom's new austerity measures strongly imply Riyadh recognizes it will eventually need to adjust its spending habits to the global oil market instead of the other way around. With no immediate recovery in sight,
The Islamic State may have faded from international headlines, but the group remains a potent threat capable of returning with force in its core territory. Since beginning its initial resurgence in Iraq during 2011, the Islamic State has morphed from a local insurgent group to a global movement, with branches that have
In a May 13 op-ed penned to The Wall Street Journal, the U.S. special envoy for Iran, Brian Hook, warned that if the U.N. Security Council did not vote to extend its arms embargo on Tehran before it expires on Oct. 18, the White House would trigger a return of all U.N. sanctions on Iran.
In this episode of the Stratfor Essential Geopolitics podcast, Fred Burton gets a a primer on why US-China trade tensions over new US export controls will last through the November 2020 US presidential election.