AssessmentsApr 19, 2024 | 21:16 GMT
Geopolitical Calendar
Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.
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Situation ReportApr 19, 2024 | 20:45 GMT
Argentina: Government Requests To Join NATO as Global Partner
Argentina's government formally requested to join NATO as a global partner during talks in Brussels, Belgium, between NATO's Deputy General Secretary Mircea Geoana and Argentine Defense Minister Luis Petri, AP reported on April 18.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 19, 2024 | 19:11 GMT
Chad: Junta Reportedly Orders Suspension of U.S. Military Activities
In a statement dated April 4 and shared online, Chadian Chief of Air Staff Brig. Gen. Idriss Amine Ahmed ordered the immediate suspension of U.S. military activities at the Adji Kossei Air Base in Chad's capital, N'Djamena, Tchad One reported on April 19.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 19, 2024 | 19:03 GMT
U.S., Israel, Palestinian Territories: U.S. Vetoes Bid for Full Palestinian Membership in U.N.
The United States vetoed a proposal in the U.N. Security Council to grant the Palestinian Territories full membership in the United Nations, AP reported on April 18.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 19, 2024 | 16:03 GMT
Iran, Yemen: Iranian Spy Ship Sails Home, Denying Houthis Strategic Intelligence
The Iranian ship MV Behshad, which the United States suspects is a spy ship gathering intelligence for Yemen's Houthi rebels to target ships in the Red Sea, has sailed back to Iran, NBC News reported on April 18.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 19, 2024 | 16:00 GMT
Senegal: Faye Conducts First Visit to Mauritania, Discusses Energy Projects
Senegalese President Bassirou Diomaye Faye met with Mauritanian President Mohamed Ould Ghazouani in his first state visit since being inaugurated on April 2, Radio France Internationale reported on April 19.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 19, 2024 | 14:27 GMT
Israel, U.S.: Washington Agrees With Israel's Goal of Removing Hamas From Rafah
Washington said it agreed with Israel's objective to remove the Palestinian militant group Hamas from power in Gaza's southern city of Rafah but that it remained concerned about the possible means by which Israel would do so, according to a readout of a working group meeting between U.S. and Israeli officials published by the White House on April 18.
READ MORESnapshotsApr 19, 2024 | 12:58 GMT
Israel Launches Measured Attack on Iran, but Escalation Risks Remain
Tit-for-tat military exchanges between Iran and its proxies against Israel will likely continue, with a constant risk of escalation.
READ MORESnapshotsApr 19, 2024 | 02:53 GMT
Israel Responds to the Iranian Attack
Iran will likely respond to Israel's attack, but the scope and size of Iran's response will depend on the scope of Israel's military actions, which is unclear at this time.
READ MOREAssessmentsApr 18, 2024 | 21:10 GMT
Reassessing Russia's Ability To Finance Its War in Ukraine
Russia's ongoing economic challenges are unlikely to prompt Moscow to de-escalate in Ukraine in 2024 and 2025, though a decline in its oil revenues could combine with other factors to change its calculations in the long term. In recent weeks, reports have emerged that Russia is experiencing delays in receiving payments for its oil and oil products because banks in numerous countries are concerned about being designated with U.S. secondary sanctions. The caution stemmed from a December 2023 executive order issued by the administration of U.S. President Joe Biden that threatened to impose secondary sanctions on global financial institutions that help Russia circumvent primary sanctions, prompting foreign banks to start asking their clients for additional guarantees that sanctioned persons or entities are not the beneficiaries of a payment. The reports came amid increased Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refining infrastructure, as well as tightening sanctions on Russia's so-called ''dark fleet''
READ MORESituation ReportApr 18, 2024 | 20:15 GMT
Mali: Junta Creates Rapid Intervention Force
Mali's junta leader Col. Assimi Goita on April 15 ordered the creation of a rapid intervention force within the army, L'Essor reported on April 17.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 18, 2024 | 17:44 GMT
Qatar: Doha Reassesses Mediator Role in Israel-Hamas War
Qatar's Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani said Qatar is reassessing its role as a mediator in the Israel-Hamas war amid stalled attempts to broker a cease-fire and U.S. and Israeli criticism of Qatar's handling of negotiations, BBC reported on April 17.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 18, 2024 | 16:25 GMT
U.K., China: London Considers New Restrictions on Emerging Tech Over Security Risks
Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Dowden said the United Kingdom is considering possible new outbound investment and export restrictions on emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, semiconductors, cryogenic equipment and facial recognition technology due to potential security risks tied to technology transfers to adversarial countries such as Russia and China, Bloomberg reported on April 18.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 18, 2024 | 15:07 GMT
Iran, Israel: Iran Warns Israeli Military Strike May Change Tehran's Nuclear Doctrine
A senior official of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or IRGC, warned that Iran could review its nuclear policy if Israel attacks Iran's nuclear facilities, IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News Agency reported on April 18.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 18, 2024 | 14:59 GMT
U.S.: Washington To Restore Tariffs on Bifacial Solar Panels
The U.S. Biden administration will likely grant a request by South Korea's photovoltaic cell manufacturer Qcells to reverse a two-year-old exemption from new tariffs on bifacial solar panel imports, Reuters reported on April 17.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 18, 2024 | 14:56 GMT
U.S., Venezuela: U.S. Reimposes Some Oil Sanctions on Venezuela
The U.S. Treasury Department announced it would not renew a general license expiring on April 18 that significantly eased sanctions on Venezuela's oil sector, Reuters reported on April 17.
READ MOREAssessmentsApr 18, 2024 | 11:00 GMT
U.S. Naval Update Map: April 18, 2024
The Naval Update Map shows the approximate current locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs) and Amphibious Ready Groups (ARGs), based on available open-source information. No classified or operationally sensitive information is included in this weekly update. CSGs and ARGs are the keys to U.S. dominance over the world's oceans. A CSG is centered on an aircraft carrier and includes significant offensive strike capability. An ARG is centered on three amphibious warfare ships, with a Marine Expeditionary Unit embarked.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 20:19 GMT
Russia, China: Chinese Exports to Russia Fall for First Time Since 2022 Amid Payment Issues
According to Chinese customs data, China's exports to Russia fell almost 16% in March from a year earlier, marking the first year-over-year decline since 2022, Bloomberg reported on April 17.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 20:16 GMT
India: Elon Musk Will Likely Announce EV Investment During Visit to India
U.S. tech executive Elon Musk is scheduled to meet with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on April 22 during his visit to India to discuss electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla's plans to enter in the Indian market, Reuters reported on April 17.
READ MORESituation ReportApr 17, 2024 | 19:35 GMT
Azerbaijan, Russia: Moscow To End Nagorno-Karabakh Peacekeeping Mission Ahead of Schedule
Russia began withdrawing its peacekeeping contingent from Azerbaijan's Nagorno-Karabakh region, AP reported on April 17, citing Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov.
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