Stratfor Threat Lens

Recent history indicates that despite its global networks and ambitions, Iran is a far more formidable threat closer to home.

The harsh reality is that economics dictate that the flow of contraband across the U.S.-Mexico border will never end as long as there is a huge market in the United States.

More and more countries are using the shutdowns to control their populations.

Ongoing political uncertainty and protests over Bolivia's recent presidential election could limit the country's ability to exploit its abundant natural resources.

The deaths of Americans will increase the pressure on the Mexican government, but criminal groups are firmly entrenched in this region.

Violent demonstrations in Catalonia will continue, and will be fueled by additional legal developments.

The incident demonstrated the military might of the Sinaloa cartel in its core area of operations.

The army, faced with deteriorating morale, is pulling back to 'supercamps' and leaving civilians and aid organizations vulnerable.

Fighting between the Cartel del Noreste and security forces has jumped, meaning those with interests in the city should be even more wary than usual.

In its attempts to disrupt flight operations, Extinction Rebellion will seek tactics that won't endanger others or incur severe penalties.

A recent report saying African governments have used the company's technology and engineers to spy on their political opponents illustrates the importance of controlling national communication networks.

As protests become more geographically dispersed, frequent and violent, the chances of direct intervention by Beijing are increasing.