Stratfor Threat Lens

Based on the trends outlined in Stratfor's 2019 annual cartel forecast, the high levels of violence in Jalisco, Mexico State, Baja California and Guanajuato come as no surprise.

Should the current wave of protests in the Central American country drag on, more Honduran migrants might head to the United States, with implications for that country and its southern neighbor, Mexico.

Since its first Extinction Rebellion protest in November 2018, the activist group Rising Up has expanded the scale and scope of its demonstrations aimed at drawing attention to climate change.

Infection rates are on the rise in the United States and Europe, with measles grabbing most of the headlines.

Were Iran to decide to retaliate for Western sanctions, it would have numerous options at its disposal.

Those traveling or doing business in Israel should create or review contingency plans for potential disruptions related to rocket fire in the coming month.

While more Islamic State attacks remain possible, the latest video isn't likely to draw a widespread response from grassroots jihadists.

Those operating or traveling in Muslim-majority countries should make plans with the Islamic holy month, which begins in early May, in mind.

Despite the outsized attention the caravans have drawn, they are just one of many factors that have contributed to the crisis unfolding along the border with Mexico.

The Cartel del Noreste appears ready to push for control of Monterrey, Mexico's third-largest metropolitan area and a major regional business hub.

The attack was intended to motivate others to carry out similar attacks against not just Muslims but anyone who supports multiculturalism and globalism.

A strong response by Tehran would prompt an even tougher Israeli counterstrike, and could cause a deadly escalation.