The Importance of Mexico

Based on the trends outlined in Stratfor's 2019 annual cartel forecast, the high levels of violence in Jalisco, Mexico State, Baja California and Guanajuato come as no surprise.

The Honduran left's electoral strategy will create greater conflict over immigration between Mexico and the United States.

The White House has retained its option to impose economic penalties if it decides Mexico City's efforts to stem migrant flows aren't sufficient. That threat alone will create problems for AMLO's government.

The president says he'll slap Mexican imports with a series of escalating duties unless it takes action to stem migrant flows. But implementing the plan risks harming both economies.

Despite the outsized attention the caravans have drawn, they are just one of many factors that have contributed to the crisis unfolding along the border with Mexico.

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has proposed a constitutional reform that would threaten the country’s business environment -- and potentially open the door for sweeping political changes.

While spring breakers should be cautious, visitors have been relatively untouched by the worrying level of homicidal violence, largely spawned by cartel turf battles.

Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has already taken a bite out of the country's private energy sector with indirect measures. Now he's taking some direct action to do the same in the electricity industry.