Militants in Mozambique will continue to gain ground near the liquified natural gas (LNG) park under construction in the country’s north until the government deems the economic and political threat large enough to warrant foreign support.
In this Essential Geopolitics podcast from Stratfor, a RANE company, Emily Donahue gets a rundown from global security analyst Thomas Abi-Hanna on the top terror threats Stratfor and RANE are monitoring in 2021.
The move will undermine efforts to consolidate federal control of restive Somalian provinces, and compound security woes amid a U.S. drawdown.
The continual reemergence of the Mohammed cartoon controversy suggests that this issue will remain an issue that motivates violence for years to come.
By Ben West
Additional cross-border attacks in Europe could increase pressure on governments to abolish, or at least suspend, the Continent's passport-free Schengen area.
The country’s deteriorating social and economic conditions are driving support to Islamist parties, raising the risk of a government crackdown that fans the flames of radicalism.
The French oil major's new security pact with the African country will likely only contain militant activity near its natural gas project, leaving the rest of northern Mozambique still vulnerable to attacks.
The potential election of a new U.S. administration in November could see Washington take a more confrontational stance against al-Assad’s regime and its Russian and Iranian backers.
By complicating French-led military operations, the overthrow of Mali's president risks creating more space jihadist activity in the country and the wider Sahel region of sub-Saharan Africa.
Recent militant activity in northern Mozambique suggests a possible evolution of capabilities that could eventually grow to threaten LNG operations in Cabo Delgado.
By Sim Tack
