Assessments

United States

Syria

Europe

A shuttered hotel is seen in Aleppo, Syria, on Jan. 24, 2025. 

Economics

Military & Security

Politics

To secure sanctions relief from the West, Syria's new leaders will likely take some symbolic steps toward forming an inclusive government, but any relief may prove temporary if Damascus diverges from its democratic promises.

The Prospect of Sanctions Relief for Post-Assad Syria

Canada

Mexico

Shipping containers are seen at the Port of Montreal in Montreal, Canada, on Feb. 3, 2025. 

Sustained U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico would undermine North American economic growth and integration, and Trump's apparent willingness to accept these costs raises the risk of his other large tariff proposals being implemented.

The High Stakes of U.S. Tariffs on North American Trade

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

Israel

United Kingdom

Trucks wait to enter United States on Nov. 26, 2024, at the Otay crossing port in Tijuana, Baja California state, Mexico.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Trump's Tariffs, Congo Braces for More Fighting in the East

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.

Geopolitical Calendar

China

Indonesia

Japan

Laos

Malaysia

Philippines

Vietnam

Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba hold a joint press conference on Jan. 10, 2025.

U.S.-China Relations

Japan is intensifying its diplomatic and security engagement in Southeast Asia through defense, trade and infrastructure agreements to counterbalance China and enhance regional stability.

Ishiba Strengthens Japan's Role in Southeast Asia With Defense and Trade Deals

Egypt

Jordan

Palestinian Territories

Saudi Arabia

Displaced Palestinians return to their homes in the Shijaiyah neighborhood, Gaza City, on Jan. 28, 2025, following the Hamas-Israel ceasefire.

Egypt and Jordan will reject Trump's current proposal to resettle over a million Palestinians from Gaza to their territories due to fears of stoking domestic unrest, but they will likely permit smaller, gradual resettlements via illegal smuggling routes.

Trump Wants Egypt and Jordan To Take in Palestinians From Gaza. Will They Do It?

South Africa

Environment, Science & Technology

Social Issues

The Geopolitics of Water

Science & Technology

While government reforms will help catalyze much-needed investments in water infrastructure, these are unlikely to rapidly resolve the country's water supply challenges, which threaten to undermine South Africa's economic growth amid more frequent droughts. 

The Geopolitics of Water: The Cascading Effects of South African Underinvestment in Water Infrastructure

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

This map shows the approximate locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups and Amphibious Ready Groups.

U.S. Naval Update Map: Jan. 30, 2025

Brazil

Low savings and investment, along with an increasingly uncertain fiscal outlook and increasing debt, make it unlikely that Brazil will succeed in maintaining its current growth momentum.

Brazil’s Economic Growth Is Set To Face Headwinds

Serbia

Kosovo

Demonstrators march in central Belgrade, Serbia, on Jan. 24, 2025, as part of a general strike over the fatal collapse of a train station roof in Novi Sad in November.

Protests over a deadly roof collapse in Novi Sad have morphed into a massive anti-corruption movement that could threaten Vucic's decade-long rule.

In Serbia, Mounting Anti-Government Protests Threaten President Vucic's Rule

Ukraine

Russia

Russian President Vladimir Putin gives a speech during a state awards ceremony at the Kremlin in Moscow on Dec. 16, 2024.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The negotiations are unlikely to quickly yield a ceasefire, as Trump pressures the Kremlin for a deal with sanctions pressure and the prospect of continued support to Ukraine.

How Will U.S.-Russia Talks on Ukraine Play Out in the Months Ahead?

Migrants from Mexico and Guatemala are apprehended by U.S. Customs and Border Patrol officers after crossing a section of the U.S.-Mexico border in Ruby, Arizona, on Jan. 4, 2025.

Such designations would harm Mexico's economy, business climate and ties with the U.S., as well as potentially its security environment if they lead to unilateral U.S. action on Mexican soil. 

The Impacts of U.S. Terrorist Designations Targeting Mexican Cartels

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