Israel

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Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

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The Israel Defense Forces intercepted the Gaza-bound Freedom Flotilla Coalition vessel, the Madleen, and 12 humanitarian activists onboard, including climate activist Greta Thunberg and a French member of the European Parliament, CNN reported on June 9.

Israel: IDF Intercepts Gaza-Bound Aid Flotilla

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his government had "activated" local clans in Gaza to counter Hamas, The Wall Street Journal reported on June 5. 

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Admits To Arming Criminal Gang To Offset Hamas

United States

The Palestinian militant group Hamas said the current U.S.-led proposal to pause the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza "fails to meet any of the just and legitimate demands of our people" but added that the group would continue to "study" the proposal without rejecting it, Reuters reported on May 30.

Israel, Gaza: Hamas Rejects U.S. Ceasefire Proposal But Does Not Abandon Talks

The U.S.-backed and Israeli-approved Gaza Humanitarian Foundation began distributing aid in the strip, marking the first significant alteration in aid deliveries since Israel cut off all supplies to Gaza in March, AP reported on May 26.

Israel, Gaza: Israeli-Dominated Organization Begins Distributing Aid in Gaza

Hamas leader Mohammed Sinwar and several other top commanders were killed in southern Gaza on May 13 after the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted an airstrike on a high-level meeting among the militant group's members, The Wall Street Journal reported on May 22.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas Leader Mohammed Sinwar Killed in Israeli Airstrike 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on May 19 that Israel will "take control" of all of the Gaza Strip, AFP reported.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Netanyahu Pledges to Take Over Gaza as IDF Expands Military Operations

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu sent a new delegation to Doha, Qatar, to restart stalled hostage negotiations with Hamas after the Palestinian militant group released Israeli-American Edan Alexander on May 12, The Times of Israel reported on May 13. 

Israel, Gaza: Hostage Negotiations Resume Under U.S. Pressure

A senior Hamas official said there is "no sense" in continuing negotiations or exploring the possibility of another ceasefire between Hamas and Israel while Israel's total blockade on the Gaza Strip continues, The Guardian reported May 6.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas Says 'No Sense' in Continuing Ceasefire Negotiations

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The third quarter of 2025 will be defined by disruptive trade policies fueling supply chain volatility and the persistent risk of escalation in major conflicts.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

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A photo taken in Tehran, Iran, on June 26, 2025, shows an Iranian political banner hanging near the remains of a residential building struck by an Israeli attack. 

Global Trade

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Fragile Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, U.S. Tariff Deadline Approaches

U.S.-Iran Relations

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Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Third-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast Webcast

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On Geopolitics

An Israeli tank rolls along the fence on the border with the Gaza Strip on June 4, 2025. 

Uncertainty regarding who will govern post-war Gaza and fund its reconstruction increases the likelihood of a prolonged Israeli occupation that would empower Israel's far-right to push for annexation and more extensive population displacement.

Is Gaza Destined for Another Israeli Occupation?

Lebanon

Israel's parliament meets March 20, 2023, in Jerusalem. A caretaker government would likely make concessions in Gaza, while a new government would likely take a different approach than Netanyahu toward Hezbollah and Iran.

A caretaker government would likely make concessions in Gaza, while a new government would likely take a different approach than Netanyahu toward Hezbollah and Iran.

How a Government Collapse Could Alter Israeli Foreign Policy

Kenya

South Africa

Poland

The Weekly Rundown: A U.S. Tariff Ruling, Israel's Opposition Seeks To Dissolve the Knesset

Israeli soldiers conduct a raid in the West Bank on March 19, 2025. 

Israel's newly approved plan to expand its offensive against Hamas will invite more Houthi attacks on its territory, worsen Gaza's humanitarian crisis, and fuel backlash both at home and abroad. 

To Break Hamas, Israel Prepares to Reoccupy Gaza

Palestinian men walk amidst the rubble of a destroyed building following an Israeli strike on a residential area of Gaza City on April 9, 2025. 

With the U.S.'s tacit support, Israel will likely keep expanding its military operations in Gaza in the hopes of pressuring both Hamas and local civilians there to leave, thereby making it easier to reoccupy the Strip.

To Secure Gaza, Israel Pursues a Strategy of Occupation and Displacement

Cyber

Energy

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Social Issues

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Global Elections

Smoke billows during Israeli strikes west of Gaza City on March 18, 2025. 

In the coming days and weeks, Israel will likely carry out phased escalations and de-escalations to pressure Hamas into releasing the remaining hostages, returning Gaza to war by effectively collapsing the January ceasefire.

Large-Scale Israeli Airstrikes Plunge Gaza Back Into an Open-Ended Conflict

Oman

Saudi Arabia

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Yemen

A rally on Jan. 24 in Sanaa, the Houthi-controlled capital of Yemen. Should the United States attack Iranian ships and advisers supporting the Houthi rebel group, Houthi and Iranian retaliation would become likelier to extend beyond U.S. and Israeli targets to include regional oil and gas installations.

Should the United States also attack Iranian ships and advisers supporting the Yemeni rebel group, Houthi and Iranian retaliation would become likelier to extend beyond U.S. and Israeli targets to include regional oil and gas installations. 

U.S. Strikes on Houthis Risk Embroiling Iran and the Regional Energy Industry

Canada

Mexico

Ukraine

A truck drives toward the Canada-U.S. border crossing in Blackpool, Canada, on Feb. 2, 2025.

The Weekly Rundown: An EU Summit on Ukraine, U.S. Tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China

Israel-Hamas Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

Israel: IDF Intercepts Gaza-Bound Aid Flotilla

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Admits To Arming Criminal Gang To Offset Hamas

Israel, Gaza: Hamas Rejects U.S. Ceasefire Proposal But Does Not Abandon Talks

Israel, Gaza: Israeli-Dominated Organization Begins Distributing Aid in Gaza

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas Leader Mohammed Sinwar Killed in Israeli Airstrike

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Netanyahu Pledges to Take Over Gaza as IDF Expands Military Operations

Israel, Gaza: Hostage Negotiations Resume Under U.S. Pressure

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas Says 'No Sense' in Continuing Ceasefire Negotiations

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