United States

Energy

Politics

Republican senators struck down a controversial tax on solar and wind projects in the final version of their tax and spending megabill, which passed on July 1, Axios reported the same day.

U.S.: Controversial Solar and Wind Tax Scrapped as Senate Passes Megabill 

Thailand

Thailand's Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra from office while it reviews a petition alleging she violated the constitution by consulting with foreign leaders, The Nation Thailand reported on July 1.

Thailand: Prime Minister's Suspension Could Lead to Government Gridlock

Cuba

Economics

U.S. President Donald Trump imposed stricter policies on Cuba and reversed measures former President Joe Biden adopted that relaxed sanctions on the communist island, Reuters reported June 30.

Cuba: U.S. Imposes Stricter Policies, Deepening Economic Crisis

South Korea

South Korean President Lee Jae-myung on July 1 said that liquidity being pumped into the housing sector was fueling speculation and causing instability in the sector, Yonhap reported the same day. 

South Korea: President Lee Seeks To Rein In Investment in Housing

Europe

The European Commission said it received a U.S. proposal outlining potential cooperation on tariff reductions, trade barriers and strategic sectors, though specific terms and tariff rates were not disclosed, Bloomberg reported on June 30. 

EU, U.S.: Brussels Opens to 10% U.S. Tariff in Deal Ahead of July 9 Deadline, Seeks U.S. Concessions

Azerbaijan

Russia

Military & Security

Azerbaijani police raided the offices of Russia's state-funded news outlet Sputnik in Baku and arrested an undisclosed number of the network's workers over the outlet's continued operation after the revocation of its accreditation in February, AP reported on June 30.

Azerbaijan, Russia: Tensions Increase Following Police Raids of Sputnik's Offices in Baku

Environment, Science & Technology

The U.S. Senate removed a controversial moratorium on state-level artificial intelligence regulations from the Republicans' tax cut and spending "megabill" in a 99-1 vote after a compromise deal on the text fell apart, Politico reported on July 1.

U.S.: AI Regulation Moratorium Scrapped From U.S. Megabill, but Solar, Wind Tax Remains

Turkey

Turkey's Izmir prosecutor ordered the detention of 157 people, many of whom are members of the opposition Republican People's Party, or CHP, including a former mayor of Izmir, a CHP provincial chair and other former members of the city administration, Hurriyet reported on July 1.

Turkey: 157 Opposition Figures Arrested in Izmir Crackdown

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Post-Apartheid Era Ends

Venezuela's Unraveling

The Saudi Survival Strategy

The Kurdish Struggle

Israel's Survival Strategy

Turkey's Resurgence

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

Old Leaders in a New Africa

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The Pulse of Political Islam

Broken Contracts in the Middle East

Russia's Internal Struggle

China in Transition

Southeast Asia: Burdened by Consensus

India's Own Worst Enemy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Snapshots

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C) speaks during a peace agreement signing ceremony between Congolese Foreign Minister Therese Kayikwamba Wagner (R) and Rwandan Foreign Minister Olivier Nduhungirehe in the Treaty Room of the State Department in Washington, D.C., on June 27, 2025. 

The peace agreement opens Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo up to significant economic opportunities, but disagreements over interpretation and continued proxy violence risk stalling the deal’s implementation.

A Fragile Peace Takes Shape Between Congo and Rwanda

Assessments

Argentina

Argentina's economy minister Luis Caputo (L) and Argentine President Javier Milei walk from the Casa Rosada Presidential Palace after a meeting on April 14, 2025.

Despite recent progress, Argentina's economic and financial position remains vulnerable over the medium term.

The Challenges Facing Argentina's New IMF Program

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The third quarter of 2025 will be defined by disruptive trade policies fueling supply chain volatility and the persistent risk of escalation in major conflicts.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Iran

Israel

Australia

China

Japan

India

A photo taken in Tehran, Iran, on June 26, 2025, shows an Iranian political banner hanging near the remains of a residential building struck by an Israeli attack. 

Global Trade

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Fragile Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, U.S. Tariff Deadline Approaches

U.S.-Iran Relations

Pakistan

Water runs in the Gurez valley in India-administered Jammu and Kashmir, near the India-Pakistan border, on June 3, 2025. 

Diplomatic talks between India and Pakistan will likely remain stalled due to ongoing airspace closures and disputes over water-sharing, sustaining the risk of a future conflict following the two countries' military confrontation earlier this year.

Unresolved Tensions: Water, Airspace and the Future of India-Pakistan Diplomacy

Media

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Third-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

Armenia

Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan addresses the crowd with a megaphone during a protest in Yerevan, Armenia, on Oct. 25, 2024. 

The prime minister's escalating dispute with the national church threatens to generate unrest and derail already delayed efforts to implement a contentious peace deal with rival Azerbaijan.

In Armenia, an Archbishop's Arrest Escalates the Prime Minister's Feud With the Church

New Zealand

People are seen behind a New Zealand flag during a ceremony celebrating the anniversary of Anzac Day. 

Prime Minister Luxon's recent trip to China marked a high-stakes diplomatic mission aimed at both deepening economic ties with Beijing and signaling New Zealand's more assertive regional posture.

New Zealand's Pivot: Assertive Defense Meets Economic Dependence on China

France

French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou speaks during a press conference at a hotel in Paris on June 24, 2025. 

The collapse of negotiations over potential changes to President Macron's controversial pensions reform will increase the risk of more no-confidence votes against the government, budgetary deadlock and another early election.

In France, the Collapse of Pension Reform Talks Risks Worsening Political Instability

Netherlands

Spain

The entrance of the building where the 2025 NATO summit will be held is seen in The Hague, the Netherlands, on June 22, 2025.

The June 24-25 summit will likely yield a political agreement on higher defense spending and highlight Europe's move toward greater defense autonomy, though structural and financial limitations will make it hard to maintain this shift over time. 

Previewing the 2025 NATO Summit

Ukraine

Israeli air defense systems are activated to intercept Iranian missiles over the Israeli city of Tel Aviv early on June 18, 2025. 

The Weekly Rundown: Israel-Iran Conflict Rages On, NATO Holds Annual Summit

Columns

On Geopolitics

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei addresses the nation in a state television broadcast on June 18, 2025, in Tehran, Iran. 

While Israel's airstrikes appear aimed at destabilizing the country, they are alone unlikely to collapse the Islamic Republic, as Iranian leaders would probably make significant concessions to ensure the regime's survival rather than let it fall.

Assessing the Potential for Regime Change in Iran

Politics

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S.: Controversial Solar and Wind Tax Scrapped as Senate Passes Megabill

Thailand: Prime Minister's Suspension Could Lead to Government Gridlock

Cuba: U.S. Imposes Stricter Policies, Deepening Economic Crisis

South Korea: President Lee Seeks To Rein In Investment in Housing

EU, U.S.: Brussels Opens to 10% U.S. Tariff in Deal Ahead of July 9 Deadline, Seeks U.S. Concessions

Azerbaijan, Russia: Tensions Increase Following Police Raids of Sputnik's Offices in Baku

U.S.: AI Regulation Moratorium Scrapped From U.S. Megabill, but Solar, Wind Tax Remains

Turkey: 157 Opposition Figures Arrested in Izmir Crackdown

Forecasts

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