ANNUAL FORECASTS

2013 Annual Forecast

MIN READJan 7, 2013 | 12:00 GMT

The rules of the game are changing in the international system. In 2013, we will see that denial of that change is waning.

The rules of the game are changing in the international system. In 2013, we will see that denial of that change is waning.

(STR/AFP/Getty Images)

Overview

At the beginning of 2012, we argued that the international system is undergoing a generational transformation -- the kind that occurs every 20 years or so. The cycle we are now in started in 2008-2009, when global financial contagion exposed the underlying weaknesses of Europe and eventually cracked China's export-oriented economic model. The Middle East then began to deviate from its post-World War II paradigm with an attempted resurgence by Iran, the regional rise of Islamists and the decline of age-old autocratic regimes in the Arab world. ...
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