ANNUAL FORECASTS

2013 Annual Forecast

MIN READJan 7, 2013 | 12:00 GMT

The rules of the game are changing in the international system. In 2013, we will see that denial of that change is waning.

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Overview

At the beginning of 2012, we argued that the international system is undergoing a generational transformation -- the kind that occurs every 20 years or so. The cycle we are now in started in 2008-2009, when global financial contagion exposed the underlying weaknesses of Europe and eventually cracked China's export-oriented economic model. The Middle East then began to deviate from its post-World War II paradigm with an attempted resurgence by Iran, the regional rise of Islamists and the decline of age-old autocratic regimes in the Arab world. ...
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