Quarterly ForecastsSep 25, 2023
2023 Fourth-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast

During the final quarter of 2023, the world will feel the impact of a global economy in transition as some of its pillars face headwinds and the war in Ukraine lingers.

Quarterly ForecastsJun 26, 2023
2023 Third-Quarter Forecast

Low economic growth, pervasive financial risks, the stalemate in Ukraine and technological competition between the world’s largest economies will drive geopolitical risk during the third quarter.

Quarterly ForecastsMar 27, 2023
2023 Second-Quarter Forecast

Geopolitical tensions will remain high as the war in Ukraine continues and meager economic activity continues to raise questions about the future of the global economy.

Quarterly ForecastsSep 26, 2022
2022 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
A handful of wheat, Ukainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Protest in Chile
Quarterly ForecastsJun 27, 2022
2022 Third-Quarter Forecast
Quarterly ForecastsMar 28, 2022
2022 Second-Quarter Forecast

The war in Ukraine, energy and food inflation and the persistence of the COVID-19 pandemic will create political, economic, security and social risk around the world during the second quarter.

Quarterly ForecastsSep 27, 2021
2021 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Quarterly ForecastsJun 28, 2021
2021 Third-Quarter Forecast

The third quarter will see a continuation of the global two-speed recovery according to countries' access to vaccines and the success of their vaccination campaigns.

Quarterly ForecastsMar 29, 2021
2021 Second-Quarter Forecast

COVID-19 will again dominate in the second quarter of 2021. With new viral variants and staggered or stalled vaccine rollouts, the global economic rebound will be uneven around the world.

Quarterly ForecastsSep 28, 2020
2020 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

The last quarter of 2020 will be a waiting game -- waiting for the results of the U.S. election in November, waiting on economic numbers, and waiting to see how the COVID-19 crisis plays out.

Quarterly ForecastsJun 29, 2020
2020 Third-Quarter Forecast

While many of the trends identified in our annual forecast remain slowed down by COVID-19, their pace is picking up as countries carefully emerge from lockdown.

Quarterly ForecastsMar 26, 2020
2020 Second-Quarter Forecast
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