Annual Forecasts Jan 3, 2022 | 00:08 GMTJan 3, 2022
We expect most of the world to adopt a "live-with-COVID" strategy that seeks to keep economies as open as possible and to avoid the recession-provoking policies of 2020 and parts of 2021.
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Annual Forecasts Dec 20, 2021 | 10:00 GMTDec 20, 2021
The next year will see slower economic growth and more cyberattacks worldwide, along with increased Western tensions with China, Iran and Russia.
Annual Forecasts Jan 3, 2021 | 21:37 GMTJan 3, 2021
The geopolitical environment in 2021 will be shaped by two global developments: the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic and the efforts by U.S. President-elect Joe Biden's administration to restore collaborative relationships across the globe.
Annual Forecasts Dec 14, 2020 | 00:00 GMTDec 14, 2020
The world will focus on recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021, coming as the U.S. inaugurates a new president seeking to restore U.S. leadership in global affairs.
Annual Forecasts Jan 6, 2020 | 00:01 GMTJan 6, 2020
Uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. presidential and congressional elections will shape the actions and decisions of countries around the world in 2020. A contentious election year in the United States means that even as other nations deal with their own domestic, regional and global concerns, they must take into account the opportunities and risks in decisions that overlap U.S. interests, considering the possible dramatic post-election change in U.S. posture
Annual Forecasts Dec 16, 2019 | 10:00 GMTDec 16, 2019
Governments deciding how to approach global trade and economic uncertainty will home in on the U.S. presidential election in 2020 as they try to gauge Washington's future course.
Annual Forecasts Dec 3, 2018 | 01:09 GMTDec 3, 2018
Great power competition is only set to intensify in 2019 and Stratfor's Annual Forecast outlines the critical issues for the coming year.
Annual Forecasts Dec 26, 2017 | 11:57 GMTDec 26, 2017
North Korea's likely achievement of a viable nuclear deterrent next year will give rise to a new and more unstable era of containment. As the specter of war looms in the Asia-Pacific, China and Russia will band together while the United States cracks down even harder on Iran -- as well as its own trade partners.
Annual Forecasts Dec 27, 2016 | 13:44 GMTDec 27, 2016
Long-arching trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. The longer economic pain persists, the stronger the political response. That loud banging at the door is the force of nationalism greeting the world's powers, particularly Europe and the United States, still the only superpower.
Annual Forecasts Dec 28, 2015 | 12:56 GMTDec 28, 2015
2016 is shaping up to be an unsettling year for much of the world. The United States and Russia are still locked in an intractable standoff. Nationalism is resurfacing in Europe. The price of oil and other commodities are low. Chinese consumption is falling. And countries around the world are more resolved than ever before to intensify their military campaigns against the Islamic State.
Annual Forecasts Jan 12, 2015 | 10:30 GMTJan 12, 2015
As we look at what 2015 holds in store, we know the oil markets are oversupplied, Europe and China will continue to stagnate, and Russia will work under heavy constraints to deny the West a strong foothold in crucial areas of its periphery while the rest of the world deals with the repercussions of these trends. The ebb and flow of this tumult is covered in the forecast that follows.
Annual Forecasts Jan 6, 2014 | 10:01 GMTJan 6, 2014
After spending more than a decade absorbed in intractable conflicts across the Islamic world, the United States will finally start to catch its breath in 2014. As U.S. troops draw down their presence in Afghanistan, Washington will go to great lengths to develop an understanding with Tehran. Negotiations will face major hurdles, and a final settlement that lifts the economic embargo on Iran will be a bridge too far for 2014. However, our longtime readers probably will not be surprised by the underlying depth and sincerity shared by Tehran and Washington that will sustain this detente over the course of the year.
