Annual

Forecasts

Multilateral cooperation will weaken as economic activity slows and the main pillars of the global economy increase protectionism in another year of war and tight energy supplies. 

2023 Annual Forecast

The war in Ukraine will grind on over the next year, sparking a global gas crunch and challenging the post-Cold War world order.

2023 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

We expect most of the world to adopt a "live-with-COVID" strategy that seeks to keep economies as open as possible and to avoid the recession-provoking policies of 2020 and parts of 2021.

2022 Annual Forecast

The next year will see slower economic growth and more cyberattacks worldwide, along with increased Western tensions with China, Iran and Russia.

2022 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

The geopolitical environment in 2021 will be shaped by two global developments: the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic and the efforts by U.S. President-elect Joe Biden's administration to restore collaborative relationships across the globe.

2021 Annual Forecast

The world will focus on recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021, coming as the U.S. inaugurates a new president seeking to restore U.S. leadership in global affairs. 


2021 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. presidential and congressional elections will shape the actions and decisions of countries around the world in 2020. A contentious election year in the United States means that even as other nations deal with their own domestic, regional and global concerns, they must take into account the opportunities and risks in decisions that overlap U.S. interests, considering the possible dramatic post-election change in U.S. posture

2020 Annual Forecast

Governments deciding how to approach global trade and economic uncertainty will home in on the U.S. presidential election in 2020 as they try to gauge Washington's future course.

2020 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

A tumultuous geopolitical environment creates strategic opportunities for vulnerable borderland powers but also creates major problems for middle powers trying to find neutral ground.

Great power competition is only set to intensify in 2019 and Stratfor's Annual Forecast outlines the critical issues for the coming year. 

2019 Annual Forecast

Deepening collaboration between China and Russia will pose a strategic threat to the United States, spurring Washington to try to check the budding partnership by reinforcing its own allies in the Eurasian borderlands.

North Korea's likely achievement of a viable nuclear deterrent next year will give rise to a new and more unstable era of containment. As the specter of war looms in the Asia-Pacific, China and Russia will band together while the United States cracks down even harder on Iran -- as well as its own trade partners.

2018 Annual Forecast

A main theme of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's campaign was the idea that the United States will pull back from overseas obligations.

Long-arching trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. The longer economic pain persists, the stronger the political response. That loud banging at the door is the force of nationalism greeting the world's powers, particularly Europe and the United States, still the only superpower.

2017 Annual Forecast

The United States and Russia are still locked in an intractable standoff. Nationalism is resurfacing in Europe. The price of oil and other commodities are low. Chinese consumption is falling.

2016 is shaping up to be an unsettling year for much of the world. The United States and Russia are still locked in an intractable standoff. Nationalism is resurfacing in Europe. The price of oil and other commodities are low. Chinese consumption is falling. And countries around the world are more resolved than ever before to intensify their military campaigns against the Islamic State.

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