2017 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Americas

The Americas stretch from the Arctic Circle in Canada to the southern tip of Chile. This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world — an ascendance aided in part by bringing Mexico and Canada into its sphere of influence. Farther south, the nations of South America are like islands, separated by vast spaces of impenetrable mountains, rivers and jungles. Try though these countries may to integrate more closely, deeper ties such as those that characterize North America will prove elusive.
Sep 28, 2017 | 13:57 GMT
This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

(FRANCK FIFE/AFP/Getty Images)
section Highlights
  • The United States will try to implement some of its proposed protectionist trade policies during the fourth quarter by working to renegotiate NAFTA to its advantage and advancing a trade investigation into Chinese technology transfer demands on U.S. companies.
  • Venezuela's state-owned energy company and government run the risk of a financial default before the end of the year, raising the possibility of greater social unrest or an attempted military rebellion as the current administration tries to cling to power.
  • Colombia's president will push Congress to pass the legislation necessary to implement his government's peace agreement with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, but he may not sway lawmakers before the end of the year.
  • In Brazil, President Michel Temer's coalition will stay strong enough to prevent his removal from office over the criminal investigations underway against him.
  • The Common Market of the South, better known as Mercosur, and the European Union will move closer to signing a free trade deal.
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