2018 Second-Quarter Forecast

Americas

The Americas stretch from the Arctic Circle in Canada to the southern tip of Chile. This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world — an ascendance aided in part by bringing Mexico and Canada into its sphere of influence. Farther south, the nations of South America are like islands, separated by vast spaces of impenetrable mountains, rivers and jungles. Try though these countries may to integrate more closely, deeper ties such as those that characterize North America will prove elusive.
Mar 9, 2018 | 15:07 GMT
This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

(FRANCK FIFE/AFP/Getty Images)
section Highlights
  • The White House's new tariffs on imported steel and aluminum will raise prices for U.S. manufacturers and invite retaliatory measures from other countries in the process.
  • Under pressure from Congress and the agricultural lobby, the United States will stay in the North American Free Trade Agreement this quarter, despite Canada's resistance to Washington's protectionist demands and Mexico's reluctance to compromise ahead of its presidential election.
  • In Mexico, established parties such as the Revolutionary Institutional Party (PRI) and the National Action Party (PAN) will fight an uphill battle against general dissatisfaction with the political establishment.
  • Though other countries in the region will become increasingly concerned this quarter about Venezuela's deepening economic crisis, Brazil and Colombia will butt heads over what to do about it.
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