ASSESSMENTS

Afghanistan and Pakistan After the 2014 NATO Drawdown

Apr 15, 2013 | 10:45 GMT

Pakistani Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar (3R) and Afghan High Peace Council chair Salahuddin Rabbani (C) prior to a meeting in Islamabad in November 2012

FAROOQ NAEEM/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Pakistan has been simultaneously grappling with a complex political transition and a domestic Taliban insurgency for many years. Now, Islamabad is under pressure to weaken its Taliban insurgency before NATO withdraws from Afghanistan since U.S.-Afghan Taliban talks are not going well and the Afghan Taliban could emerge in a position of power in 2014. A dominant Taliban in Afghanistan would represent a nightmare scenario for Islamabad because it could embolden the Pakistani Taliban and thwart Pakistan's desires to take control of its northern territories.

The Afghan Taliban's position in a post-NATO Afghanistan could influence their Pakistani counterparts' insurgency....

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