ASSESSMENTS

After the Nuclear Deal, a Region Recalibrates

Jul 28, 2015 | 09:15 GMT

(Stratfor)

Summary

Editor's Note: This is the first installment of an occasional series on the evolving fortunes of the Middle East that Stratfor will be building upon periodically.

The six world powers and Iran have come to an agreement about the curbing of Iran's nuclear program. But it would be a mistake to assume that this agreement will result in an immediate, or even short-term, decrease in violence or competition among the Middle East's strongest powers. In fact, the opposite will be the case. Iran will use its newfound international legitimacy to attempt to realize its ambitions to become the regional hegemon. Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and a host of small countries and even smaller religious and ethnic groups will all compete and at times align for influence.

Iran's nuclear agreement will dilute power in the Middle East, creating more conflicts and strange alliances....

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