assessments

Al Qaeda: From Organization to Movement?

Fred Burton
Chief Security Officer, Stratfor
Sep 22, 2005 | 18:58 GMT
Pedestrians walk past a newspaper stand announcing terrorist attacks in London on July 7, 2005.
Pedestrians walk past a newspaper stand announcing terrorist attacks in London on July 7, 2005.
(PACO SERINELLI/AFP/Getty Images)

Stratfor approaches analysis with a “net assessment” model of the world: an internal definition of how things are and the key trends driving developments at any given time. A net assessment is much more than an intuitive “gut feeling.” Rather, it is the product of two key elements: a daily search for developments that either fit with the ongoing picture (or anomalies that reshape it) and an understanding of time, as viewed by the region or actor being assessed. And these views vary dramatically....

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