ASSESSMENTS

Analytic Guidance: What to Watch for in Nagorno-Karabakh

Aug 5, 2014 | 20:51 GMT

An Armenian soldier of the self-proclaimed republic of Nagorno-Karabakh aims his rifle as he stands in a trench at the frontline on the border with Azerbaijan near the town of Martakert, on July 6, 2012.
An Armenian soldier of the self-proclaimed republic of Nagorno-Karabakh aims his rifle as he stands in a trench at the frontline on the border with Azerbaijan near the town of Martakert, on July 6, 2012.

(KAREN MINASYAN/AFP/GettyImages)

Editor's Note

The following is an internal Stratfor document produced to provide high-level guidance regarding the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh. This document is not a forecast but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions for areas of focus.

Fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed territory of Nagorno-Karabakh broke out July 31, and skirmishes have continued ever since. Many observers wonder whether a new round of war between Armenia and Azerbaijan is possible. This is an internal Stratfor document that provides high-level guidance regarding the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh. It is not a forecast but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions for areas of focus....

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