A peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan is becoming increasingly likely, but internal political dynamics in Armenia may delay its implementation, opening the door to cross-border violence. In the meantime, Russia will use a combination of threats and cooperation offers to preserve its influence in the region. On April 2, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said that his country will not demand any additional changes to a peace agreement with Armenia that the two countries agreed on March 13. Still, Aliyev said that the agreement cannot enter into force unless Armenia introduces constitutional reforms to remove any references to what Baku perceives as Armenian claims on Azeri territory. On April 3, Armenia's Minister of Justice Srbuhi Galyan confirmed that her government is working on a new constitution and said that ''at some point'' the text will be made public. However, Galyan added, ''I don't think it's possible to have a new...
