ASSESSMENTS

Assassination Attempt on a Top Malian Officer

Dec 6, 2012 | 11:17 GMT

Assassination Attempt on a Top Malian Officer
Malian army Col. Elhadji Ag Gamou (C) in Niamey, Niger, on Dec. 2

HAMA BOUREIMA/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

A Malian army officer whose expertise could be invaluable for an intervention force attempting to push al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb and its Islamist allies out of northern Mali survived an alleged assassination attempt on Dec. 2. Elhadji Ag Gamou, an army colonel and militia commander formerly in charge of the country's Kidal garrison until he and his forces were forced by Tuareg rebels to withdraw in early 2012, was targeted in a drive-by shooting in the Nigerien capital of Niamey. Gamou told foreign media outlets the next day that he was fired at three times by a Nigerien man on a motorcycle while exiting a residence in the city and that his bodyguard was wounded in the attack. Police later captured the suspect, but no information has been released about his motive or possible connections.

As a longtime militia commander, Gamou almost certainly has numerous enemies who would want him killed. However, if the attack was a legitimate assassination attempt, its timing makes the al Qaeda franchise or its Islamist allies the most likely culprits. Gamou's militia has extensive knowledge of local conditions and combat experience against Tuareg Islamist fighters, and it could pose a serious threat to the Islamist militant movement in northern Mali if it joined up with the foreign forces that are reportedly planning an intervention. The assassination attempt was likely intended to remove Gamou as a potential asset for any intervention force.

Al Qaeda or its allies may have organized the attempt on a high-profile Malian army colonel's life....

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