With both sides seemingly unwilling to negotiate, the Iran-Israel conflict is escalating into a high-intensity but limited war that increases the risk of regional spillover and/or Iran's withdrawal from the nuclear nonproliferation treaty, elevating the risk of U.S. military involvement. Iran launched dozens of ballistic missiles toward central and northern Israel early on June 16, while Israel continued its widespread attacks on Iran, including against its capital, Tehran. Since June 13, Israeli attacks in Iran have killed at least 224 people, according to the Iranian government, while Iranian attacks in Israel have killed at least 23 people and injured more than 400 others, according to the Israeli government. Iran's June 16 ballistic missile attack impacted several locations in Israel, including Haifa, Petah Tikva and Tel Aviv, where an Iranian missile slightly damaged the U.S. Consulate. Meanwhile, Israel reported that it hit more than 80 targets in Tehran on June 15,...