ASSESSMENTS

Attacks Indicate al Qaeda Remains Weak

May 17, 2003 | 18:42 GMT

Summary

A string of bombings in Morocco — coming in the wake of similar attacks in Chechnya, Riyadh and Karachi — suggest a coordinated program of attacks is under way, likely orchestrated by al Qaeda. However, the nature of the attacks suggests that al Qaeda remains disabled at the high and mid-levels, and has resorted to semi-autonomous operations by local cells to demonstrate its continued effectiveness. This is a low-impact, short-term strategy, and will be successful in achieving al Qaeda's ends only if it generates a disproportionate response from Western governments and media.

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