ASSESSMENTS

Battle for the FSU: Russia's Gambit, NATO's Checkmate

Feb 11, 2004 | 17:40 GMT

Summary

At a recent security conference in Munich, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov warned NATO that Russia would withdraw from the Cold War-era Conventional Forces in Europe treaty if NATO does not curb plans to expand into Russia's front yard. Ivanov's threat is just one move in what will be a geopolitical chess match between NATO and Russia over NATO's eastward march. Ultimately — due to financial, political and strategic constraints — Russia will lose.

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