GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES

Beneath the Bombast, Iran's Leaders Tread Lightly With the U.S.

Jul 29, 2018 | 09:00 GMT

For all the harsh rhetoric espoused by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's government knows it has little room to maneuver when it comes to countering the United States.

For all the harsh rhetoric espoused by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's government knows it has little room to maneuver when it comes to countering the United States.

(STRINGER/AFP/Getty Images)

Highlights

  • Since U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the Iran nuclear deal, the Iranian government will move to boost its uranium enrichment capacity, as Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei threatened, and to keep testing ballistic missiles.
  • Nevertheless, Tehran will be careful to avoid violating the deal or provoking further action from the U.S. administration for fear of international and domestic backlash.
  • Iran, instead, will focus on its economic and political problems for now, while trying to muddle through the restored U.S. sanctions.

U.S. President Donald Trump isn't pulling his punches with Iran. In early May, he announced his unilateral decision to withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and to reinstate select sanctions on Iran starting in August. He also warned that he would enforce secondary sanctions on countries that continue doing business with the Islamic republic, confident that U.S. allies, such as the 28 members of the European Union, would take heed. And with limited options for resisting Washington, most have. French President Emmanuel Macron cautioned Trump -- having failed to convince him of the merits of staying in the JCPOA -- that in the wake of the U.S. withdrawal, the chances of conflict with Iran would grow. Iran, after all, had declared its intentions to increase uranium enrichment if the deal collapsed and confirmed that it would keep investing in its ballistic missile program. But beneath these threats, Iran knows...

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