ASSESSMENTS

The Biggest Obstacle to Iran's Energy Makeover Is Itself

May 27, 2016 | 09:16 GMT

Iran's energy sector may undergo a dramatic change if it can move beyond the country's difficult political and business environment.
Iran's energy sector may undergo a dramatic change if it can move beyond the country's difficult political and business environment.

(ATTA KENARE/AFP/Getty Images)

Forecast Highlights

  • The terms of Iran's new oil contract, once finalized, will be a significant improvement over the country's old buyback model.
  • There is still an intense debate raging over the contract's details, including remuneration and profit allocation, but its framework appears to be settled.  
  • Iran's various stakeholders will try to use the ambiguity to their advantage, furthering their own interests as the contract's remaining details are hashed out.

Throughout the first half of the year, Iran's national oil company has been busily signing partnership deals with its international peers to secure its place in future Iranian energy projects. The agreements, the most recent of which was sealed on May 4 with Austria's OMV Group, come at a critical time for Iran's hydrocarbons sector. Over the past decade, the Iranian oil industry languished as Tehran largely shunned outside assistance. But now, in an effort to capitalize on the country's recent nuclear deal with the West and the lifting of sanctions, President Hassan Rouhani is trying to reinvigorate the sector by pumping in foreign cash and expertise. The president's envisioned reforms will fundamentally change the structure of the Iranian energy industry. But they could also redefine the role and scope of the National Iranian Oil Co.'s activities -- an outcome certain stakeholders in the company and the oil sector more broadly...

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