ASSESSMENTS

Boko Haram: Nigerian Islamist Militant Group's Unlikely Threat

Sep 27, 2011 | 12:09 GMT

PIUS UTOMI EKPEI/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Nigerian Islamist militant group Boko Haram is planning bombing attacks in southern Nigeria, including in the Niger Delta, according to intelligence reports from Abuja. Lacking any notable presence or support base in the south, Boko Haram would have a difficult time following through on these alleged plans and instead could be trying to raise its profile to extract political concessions. If the group did conduct an attack in these regions, it would likely trigger a harsh counteraction by militants in the Niger Delta — not to mention regular Nigerian armed forces, such as the Joint Task Force, deployed to the oil-producing region.

Boko Haram is likely more interested in political concessions than the conflict that would be sparked by a bombing in Nigeria's south. ...

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