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A Ukrainian artilleryman fires a 152 mm towed gun-howitzer D-20 at Russian positions near Bakhmut, eastern Ukraine, on July 20, 2023. 

The West's failure to provide Kyiv with more robust support and Ukraine's failure to retake enough territory to destabilize Russia’s government indicate that time is less on Kyiv’s side now than it was a year ago.

Bracing for a Protracted War in Ukraine: Updating Our Analysis, One Year On

Bracing for a Protracted War in Ukraine: Updating Our Analysis, One Year On | RANE

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Ukraine

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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

In August 2022, we interrogated the arguments for and against time being on Kyiv's side and on Moscow's side in the war in Ukraine. With Ukraine's long-anticipated counteroffensive currently stalling, the 2023 NATO Summit in Vilnius behind us, and Kyiv's peace plan set to be discussed in Saudi Arabia later this week, now is a good opportunity to update the narratives we laid out a year ago.

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Bracing for a Protracted War in Ukraine: Updating Our Analysis, One Year On

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