COLUMNS

Bracing for a Protracted War in Ukraine: Updating Our Analysis, One Year On

undefined and Eurasia Analyst at RANE
Matthew Orr
Eurasia Analyst at RANE, Stratfor

Aug 3, 2023 | 22:26 GMT

A Ukrainian artilleryman fires a 152 mm towed gun-howitzer D-20 at Russian positions near Bakhmut, eastern Ukraine, on July 20, 2023.
A Ukrainian artilleryman fires a 152 mm towed gun-howitzer D-20 at Russian positions near Bakhmut, eastern Ukraine, on July 20, 2023.

(GENYA SAVILOV/AFP via Getty Images)

In August 2022, we interrogated the arguments for and against time being on Kyiv's side and on Moscow's side in the war in Ukraine. With Ukraine's long-anticipated counteroffensive currently stalling, the 2023 NATO Summit in Vilnius behind us, and Kyiv's peace plan set to be discussed in Saudi Arabia later this week, now is a good opportunity to update the narratives we laid out a year ago....

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