Assessments

Central Asia: A Different Kind of Threat

Jan 1, 2016 | 10:15 GMT
New powers will rise to take the place of Russia and the West.
(Stratfor)

Much like the Caucasus, Central Asia serves as a relatively new but no less important staging ground for the ongoing competition between Russia and the West. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the region has been somewhat of a melange for both sides: Kazakhstan has stayed close with Russia, while Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have refused to choose between either. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, on the other hand, have had difficulty settling on which foreign patron to support as violent upheavals have swung their foreign policies back and forth. Over the coming decades, instability and internal conflict will continue to pose the greatest threats to the region as the influence of Russia and the West in Central Asia fades. But in their place, two new powers will rise that will increasingly shape the future of the region: Turkey and China. ...

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