ASSESSMENTS

Central Asia's Looming Conflict Over Water, Part 2: The Downriver Countries

Nov 13, 2012 | 11:15 GMT

Central Asia's Looming Conflict Over Water, Part 2: The Downriver Countries
The Kokaral dam in Kazakhstan on the Aral Sea

ANTOINE LAMBROSCHINI/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Even before Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan began their recent push to build hydroelectric dams along Central Asia's two main rivers, downriver countries were coping with water scarcity challenges caused by increased demand and inefficient agricultural practices. Adjusting irrigation techniques in Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan could partially mitigate these problems, but political and economic difficulties in these countries — especially the latter two — appear likely to stymie any progress. The persistence of water competition in Central Asia has already increased regional tensions and could eventually escalate to armed conflict if the situation goes unaddressed.

Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan could face a bleak water future even without the proposed upriver dams....

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