GRAPHICS

China's Changing Regional Security Priorities

Jan 7, 2016 | 18:49 GMT

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(Stratfor)

Since China's massive economic expansion at the end of the Cold War, protecting its interests abroad as well as supplementing economic influence with military influence has become an increasingly important priority. On Dec. 27, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress passed the nation's first counterterrorism law, laying the legal groundwork to conduct overseas security and counterterrorism operations.

Initially, China will probably send additional investigators, intelligence collectors and security liaisons abroad as it expands domestic collections and responds to individual incidents against Chinese personnel, businesses or activities. But there is a heavy focus on what is referred to as "military operations other than war." These operations include disaster response, search and rescue, anti-piracy operations, medical operations and even infrastructure development.

The greater vision laid out in China's 2015 defense white paper makes it clear that the goal is to fully transform the role of the military, reorienting each branch toward overseas operations and expanding the military's role to include the protection of Chinese interests abroad. This change has become necessary as international instability and the expansion of terrorism and piracy now threaten China's significantly expanded economic and political connections around the world. Thus, China has been participating in U.N. and anti-piracy operations and taking a more assertive role in the South and East China seas.

The challenge for China is that it may have to test these changes sooner than expected. Iran has already suggested China take a more active role in resolving security issues in the Middle East. Russia, too, has welcomed China's new counterterrorism law and suggested it provides a foundation for more active international cooperation between the two countries. Beijing also recently launched its massive Belt and Road Initiative and has struggled to find sufficient security arrangements for land routes through known trouble spots such as Afghanistan and western Pakistan. It has also dedicated aircraft carriers to a future role of securing key maritime routes that fall under Belt and Road. In short, as China adjusts its legal structure to allow overseas actions and restructures its forces to be able to carry out such actions, it will be called upon to use them — perhaps unexpectedly. Already Chinese forces have increased joint training exercises with countries around the world and have been gaining experience as part of U.N. peacekeeping operations, even if rarely in direct combat operations.