On Geopolitics

China's Evolving Taiwan Policy: Disrupt, Isolate and Constrain

Rodger Baker
Senior VP of Strategic Analysis, Stratfor
Jun 11, 2020 | 17:44 GMT
A 3D rendering of eastern China and the island of Taiwan lit by city lights from space.

A 3D rendering of eastern China and the island of Taiwan lit by city lights from space.

(Anton Balazh/Shutterstock.com)

For China's leadership, the unification of Taiwan is more than a symbol of the final success of the Chinese Communist Party or an emotional appeal to some historic image of a greater China. It is a strategic imperative driven both by Taiwan's strategic location, and by the rising antagonism between the United States and China. Taiwan is the “unsinkable aircraft carrier” off the Chinese coastline, splitting China's near seas, and bridging the arc of islands stretching southwest from Japan with those from the Philippines south through Indonesia. Taiwan is crucial for both any foreign containment strategy, and for China's confidence and security in the East and South China seas -- areas critical to China's national defense, food security and international trade. ...

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