ASSESSMENTS

Unrest in Colombia Will Continue in 2020 as Duque Stays Firm

Dec 17, 2019 | 11:00 GMT

A protest against the government of President Ivan Duque on Dec. 8, 2019, in Bogota, Colombia.

A protest against the government of President Ivan Duque on Dec. 8, 2019, in Bogota, Colombia.

(JUANCHO TORRES/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

Highlights

  • The coalition of groups behind nationwide political unrest in Colombia exercises significant control over protesters, something that will keep the unrest largely peaceful.
  • Colombian President Ivan Duque may make some concessions to the protesters, such as increased social spending and delaying reforms, but he will not make enough to quell the unrest.
  • Ongoing unrest will sap Duque's ability to govern, while his unwillingness to ease up on the pressure on left-wing militants means security in some rural areas will worsen.

Major demonstrations that have racked Colombia since Nov. 21 will continue into 2020, but will largely remain peaceful. The government of Colombian President Ivan Duque will struggle to come to terms with the protesters, and will become less politically effective amid ongoing unrest and as the security situation worsens in rural areas prone to militancy....

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