ASSESSMENTS

Colombia, Venezuela: Another Round of Diplomatic Furor

Jul 29, 2010 | 21:26 GMT

MARTIN BERNETTI/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

A recent diplomatic flare-up between Venezuela and Colombia over Venezuela's alleged harboring of Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia rebels appears unlikely to lead to a military confrontation between the unfriendly neighbors for now. Incoming Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos will use the current spat to shape a firmer negotiating position in relation to Caracas when he takes office Aug. 7, but a growing debate over a U.S.-Colombian military basing deal is likely to undermine much of the credibility Santos is currently trying to build in his attempt to normalize relations with Venezuela.

Tensions between Colombia and Venezuela are not likely to escalate to a military confrontation for now, but the countries are unlikely to become friendly in the near term, either....

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