ASSESSMENTS

Constitutional Reform: A Change Turkey's Parties Can Believe In

Aug 26, 2016 | 09:15 GMT

Supporters of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan gather in Ankara Aug. 7, 2016, to show their opposition to the military coup attempted a few weeks earlier.
Turkey has a long history of political conflict involving the military. But following an attempted military coup against him, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is more resolved than ever to end the trend in his favor.

(ADEM ALTAN/AFP/Getty Images)

Forecast Highlights

  • Turkey's shifting foreign policy is helping to reduce friction between the country's ruling and opposition parties.
  • After the failed coup, Turkey's political parties will be even more united in their efforts to increase civilian oversight over the military, but amendments to increase presidential control will remain too contentious to pass.
  • Kurdish political participation will be even further sidelined from mainline Turkish politics, a unique departure from prior rounds of AKP-led constitutional amendments.

Since the Republic of Turkey became a multiparty constitutional democracy in 1946, its governmental institutions have been used as tools of patronage in a highly polarized political system. The arduous process of rewriting the Turkish Constitution offers a prime opportunity for parties to co-opt Turkish political institutions to advance their agendas. Sometimes, these agendas coincide. The constitution of 1982, for instance, was in many ways drafted around various protections for the military. But in the years since its adoption, civilian political parties have rallied around the common goal of redacting those protections to keep Turkey's democratic system from descending into martial law. The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) has made rewriting the constitution, which it considers too tutelary, something of its own cause throughout the nearly decade and a half that it has held power. Now, the air of compromise that has prevailed among Turkey's main three parties --...

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