ASSESSMENTS

Egypt's Losing Battle on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Jun 23, 2020 | 18:03 GMT

A worker goes down a construction ladder at the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Blue Nile in Ethiopia on Dec. 26, 2019.

A worker goes down a construction ladder at the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam along the Blue Nile on Dec. 26, 2019. 

(EDUARDO SOTERAS/AFP via Getty Images)

The failure of last week's negotiations over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam means that the initial filling of the $4 billion hydroelectric dam on the Blue Nile will likely occur without an agreement between Sudan, Egypt and Ethiopia. Egypt will attempt, and likely fail, to bring international pressure to bear on Ethiopia in order to ensure the giant new dam doesn't affect the flow of the Nile Basin river system, which is Cairo's main source of water. But while Egypt's technical coordination on the project is unavoidable, Cairo's waning influence over North Africa's water distribution will make its overall position on the Nile less secure over time....

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