ASSESSMENTS

El Salvador's Durable Gang Truce

Jan 28, 2014 | 11:02 GMT

Members of Calle 18 in a jail yard in Izalco, El Salvador.

(Jose CABEZAS/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

El Salvador holds a presidential election Feb. 2 in which gang violence and a truce between the country's two main criminal organizations, Mara Salvatrucha and Calle 18, has become a central campaign issue. The cease-fire, however, depends little on the government. It will last as long as both groups see more benefits to cooperation than to conflict, despite the Salvadoran opposition's heated political rhetoric claiming otherwise.

The cease-fire will last because all parties have an interest in maintaining it....

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